**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view inside Iran since his February 2026 appointment as Supreme Leader following his father’s death in a US-Israeli airstrike that also wounded him.** Regime officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian in recent statements, maintain he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure location amid ongoing conflict and targeted threats. Persistent rumors of death or grave injury circulate due to the absence of verifiable video, audio, or public appearances, prompting periodic proof-of-life claims through written statements and attributed appointments. Analysts cite security imperatives and medical needs as primary reasons against travel abroad, with no confirmed reports of departure or foreign treatment despite unverified early speculation. Trader sentiment on any exit by a set date hinges on war developments, health disclosures, or regime stability signals, as prolonged concealment inside Iran aligns with current patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$117,838 Vol.
31. Okt. 2026
31. Oktober
4%
31. Dezember
4%
$117,838 Vol.
31. Oktober
$119 Vol.
4%
31. Dezember
$806 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view inside Iran since his February 2026 appointment as Supreme Leader following his father’s death in a US-Israeli airstrike that also wounded him.** Regime officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian in recent statements, maintain he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure location amid ongoing conflict and targeted threats. Persistent rumors of death or grave injury circulate due to the absence of verifiable video, audio, or public appearances, prompting periodic proof-of-life claims through written statements and attributed appointments. Analysts cite security imperatives and medical needs as primary reasons against travel abroad, with no confirmed reports of departure or foreign treatment despite unverified early speculation. Trader sentiment on any exit by a set date hinges on war developments, health disclosures, or regime stability signals, as prolonged concealment inside Iran aligns with current patterns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Volumen
$117,838Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view inside Iran since his February 2026 appointment as Supreme Leader following his father’s death in a US-Israeli airstrike that also wounded him.** Regime officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian in recent statements, maintain he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure location amid ongoing conflict and targeted threats. Persistent rumors of death or grave injury circulate due to the absence of verifiable video, audio, or public appearances, prompting periodic proof-of-life claims through written statements and attributed appointments. Analysts cite security imperatives and medical needs as primary reasons against travel abroad, with no confirmed reports of departure or foreign treatment despite unverified early speculation. Trader sentiment on any exit by a set date hinges on war developments, health disclosures, or regime stability signals, as prolonged concealment inside Iran aligns with current patterns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$117,838Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view inside Iran since his February 2026 appointment as Supreme Leader following his father’s death in a US-Israeli airstrike that also wounded him.** Regime officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian in recent statements, maintain he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure location amid ongoing conflict and targeted threats. Persistent rumors of death or grave injury circulate due to the absence of verifiable video, audio, or public appearances, prompting periodic proof-of-life claims through written statements and attributed appointments. Analysts cite security imperatives and medical needs as primary reasons against travel abroad, with no confirmed reports of departure or foreign treatment despite unverified early speculation. Trader sentiment on any exit by a set date hinges on war developments, health disclosures, or regime stability signals, as prolonged concealment inside Iran aligns with current patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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