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icon for Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar

Profesora Evany 43%

Wilson Lima 43%

Eduardo Braga 43%

Evandro de Oliveira 43%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Profesora Evany 43%

Wilson Lima 43%

Eduardo Braga 43%

Evandro de Oliveira 43%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Profesora Evany

Profesora Evany

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Wilson Lima

Wilson Lima

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Eduardo Braga

Eduardo Braga

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Evandro de Oliveira

Evandro de Oliveira

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Xuxa do Amazonas

Xuxa do Amazonas

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Ismael Munduruku

Ismael Munduruku

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Capitão Alberto Neto

Capitão Alberto Neto

$0 Vol.

40%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Amazonas Senate race shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) frequently leading the field for one of the two seats up for election on October 4, while a cluster of contenders—including Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), and incumbent Plínio Valério (PSDB)—compete closely for the remaining position. With nine confirmed candidates and limited differentiation in voter intentions across surveys, trader consensus reflects high uncertainty over second place. Factors sustaining the tight positioning include recent party conventions, candidate registrations completed in early August, and the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements that could consolidate support behind any single challenger. Upcoming debates or shifts in turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Amazonas Senate race shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) frequently leading the field for one of the two seats up for election on October 4, while a cluster of contenders—including Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), and incumbent Plínio Valério (PSDB)—compete closely for the remaining position. With nine confirmed candidates and limited differentiation in voter intentions across surveys, trader consensus reflects high uncertainty over second place. Factors sustaining the tight positioning include recent party conventions, candidate registrations completed in early August, and the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements that could consolidate support behind any single challenger. Upcoming debates or shifts in turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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¿Evandro de Oliveira obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Amazonas de 2026?

44%
Sí
icon for ¿Obtendrá Breno Guimarães la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Pará de 2026?

¿Obtendrá Breno Guimarães la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Pará de 2026?

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icon for ¿Obtendrá el profesor Guilherme Amorim la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado del Distrito Federal de 2026?

¿Obtendrá el profesor Guilherme Amorim la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado del Distrito Federal de 2026?

44%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Profesora Evany" con 44%, seguido de "Wilson Lima" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar" es "Profesora Evany" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Wilson Lima" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Amazonas: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.