Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.9% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the complete absence of credible criminal investigations, indictments, or DOJ/FBI actions despite ongoing civil disputes with the Defense Department. The dispute stems from Anthropic's refusal to lift AI safety guardrails for Pentagon contracts on autonomous weapons and surveillance, leading to a March supply chain risk designation; a federal judge paused enforcement late March, and Amodei met White House chief of staff Susie Wiles on April 17 amid DOJ appeal preparations. Amodei remains publicly active with no legal jeopardy. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen national security charges or export control violations, though evidentiary and procedural hurdles remain substantial.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$158,439 Vol.
$158,439 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$158,439 Vol.
$158,439 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.9% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the complete absence of credible criminal investigations, indictments, or DOJ/FBI actions despite ongoing civil disputes with the Defense Department. The dispute stems from Anthropic's refusal to lift AI safety guardrails for Pentagon contracts on autonomous weapons and surveillance, leading to a March supply chain risk designation; a federal judge paused enforcement late March, and Amodei met White House chief of staff Susie Wiles on April 17 amid DOJ appeal preparations. Amodei remains publicly active with no legal jeopardy. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen national security charges or export control violations, though evidentiary and procedural hurdles remain substantial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volumen
$158,439Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.9% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the complete absence of credible criminal investigations, indictments, or DOJ/FBI actions despite ongoing civil disputes with the Defense Department. The dispute stems from Anthropic's refusal to lift AI safety guardrails for Pentagon contracts on autonomous weapons and surveillance, leading to a March supply chain risk designation; a federal judge paused enforcement late March, and Amodei met White House chief of staff Susie Wiles on April 17 amid DOJ appeal preparations. Amodei remains publicly active with no legal jeopardy. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen national security charges or export control violations, though evidentiary and procedural hurdles remain substantial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$158,439Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.9% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the complete absence of credible criminal investigations, indictments, or DOJ/FBI actions despite ongoing civil disputes with the Defense Department. The dispute stems from Anthropic's refusal to lift AI safety guardrails for Pentagon contracts on autonomous weapons and surveillance, leading to a March supply chain risk designation; a federal judge paused enforcement late March, and Amodei met White House chief of staff Susie Wiles on April 17 amid DOJ appeal preparations. Amodei remains publicly active with no legal jeopardy. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen national security charges or export control violations, though evidentiary and procedural hurdles remain substantial.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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