Skip to main content
icon for Elección al Senado de Bahía: 1er lugar

Elección al Senado de Bahía: 1er lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Bahía: 1er lugar

Elección al Senado de Bahía: 1er lugar

Gregorio Gould 44%

Jaques Wagner 44%

Marcelo Santtana 44%

Rui Costa 44%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Gregorio Gould 44%

Jaques Wagner 44%

Marcelo Santtana 44%

Rui Costa 44%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Gregorio Gould

Gregorio Gould

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Jaques Wagner

Jaques Wagner

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marcelo Santtana

Marcelo Santtana

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carlos Sodré

Carlos Sodré

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Angelo Coronel

Angelo Coronel

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Professora Delliana

Professora Delliana

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Marcelo Millet

Marcelo Millet

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Marcelo Carvalho

Marcelo Carvalho

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$0 Vol.

38%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to competition between leading PT figures Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner, both seeking the state's two seats in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls show Rui Costa ahead in vote intention while Wagner trails closely, with opposition names such as Angelo Coronel and João Roma further back but still registering support. Party conventions, coalition alignments, and shifting voter turnout patterns in key regions continue to influence positioning. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin, with any late polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or campaign momentum changes likely to separate frontrunners before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to competition between leading PT figures Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner, both seeking the state's two seats in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polls show Rui Costa ahead in vote intention while Wagner trails closely, with opposition names such as Angelo Coronel and João Roma further back but still registering support. Party conventions, coalition alignments, and shifting voter turnout patterns in key regions continue to influence positioning. Trader consensus reflects this narrow margin, with any late polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or campaign momentum changes likely to separate frontrunners before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Bahía: 1er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gregorio Gould" con 45%, seguido de "Jaques Wagner" con 45%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Bahía: 1er lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Bahía: 1er lugar", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Bahía: 1er lugar" es "Gregorio Gould" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jaques Wagner" con 45%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Bahía: 1er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.