Market icon

Claude Mythos released by…?

Market icon

Claude Mythos released by…?

NEW

$22,417 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$22,417 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$13,818 Vol.

1%

April 30

$8,276 Vol.

40%

30 de junio

$324 Vol.

45%

A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A massive data leak from Anthropic's content management system, exposed just 24 hours ago, revealed draft blog posts detailing Claude Mythos, the company's most capable large language model to date, representing a step change over Claude Opus 4.6 in coding, academic reasoning, and cybersecurity benchmarks. Anthropic confirmed the model's existence and ongoing internal testing but emphasized unprecedented risks, particularly its ability to exploit software vulnerabilities faster than humans can patch, leading to a restricted early access program for cyber defenders rather than broad release. This solidifies trader consensus around Anthropic as the developer amid fierce AI competition from OpenAI and Google, with no signals of involvement from rivals; watch for regulatory scrutiny or a controlled rollout announcement in coming weeks that could shift dynamics.

A massive data leak from Anthropic's content management system, exposed just 24 hours ago, revealed draft blog posts detailing Claude Mythos, the company's most capable large language model to date, representing a step change over Claude Opus 4.6 in coding, academic reasoning, and cybersecurity benchmarks. Anthropic confirmed the model's existence and ongoing internal testing but emphasized unprecedented risks, particularly its ability to exploit software vulnerabilities faster than humans can patch, leading to a restricted early access program for cyber defenders rather than broad release. This solidifies trader consensus around Anthropic as the developer amid fierce AI competition from OpenAI and Google, with no signals of involvement from rivals; watch for regulatory scrutiny or a controlled rollout announcement in coming weeks that could shift dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A massive data leak from Anthropic's content management system, exposed just 24 hours ago, revealed draft blog posts detailing Claude Mythos, the company's most capable large language model to date, representing a step change over Claude Opus 4.6 in coding, academic reasoning, and cybersecurity benchmarks. Anthropic confirmed the model's existence and ongoing internal testing but emphasized unprecedented risks, particularly its ability to exploit software vulnerabilities faster than humans can patch, leading to a restricted early access program for cyber defenders rather than broad release. This solidifies trader consensus around Anthropic as the developer amid fierce AI competition from OpenAI and Google, with no signals of involvement from rivals; watch for regulatory scrutiny or a controlled rollout announcement in coming weeks that could shift dynamics.

A massive data leak from Anthropic's content management system, exposed just 24 hours ago, revealed draft blog posts detailing Claude Mythos, the company's most capable large language model to date, representing a step change over Claude Opus 4.6 in coding, academic reasoning, and cybersecurity benchmarks. Anthropic confirmed the model's existence and ongoing internal testing but emphasized unprecedented risks, particularly its ability to exploit software vulnerabilities faster than humans can patch, leading to a restricted early access program for cyber defenders rather than broad release. This solidifies trader consensus around Anthropic as the developer amid fierce AI competition from OpenAI and Google, with no signals of involvement from rivals; watch for regulatory scrutiny or a controlled rollout announcement in coming weeks that could shift dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Claude Mythos released by…?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 45%, seguido de "April 30" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Claude Mythos released by…?" ha generado $22.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Claude Mythos released by…?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Claude Mythos released by…?" es "30 de junio" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "April 30" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Claude Mythos released by…?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.