Anthropic's official status page logged multiple resolved incidents of elevated errors across Claude models throughout May 2026, including notable events on May 6, 8, 22, 29, and 30-31, driving the near-certain market-implied odds of 9-11 downtime days. These disruptions, often tied to capacity strains amid rising user demand for the large language models, produced brief but recurring service impacts on claude.ai, the API, and related tools, consistent with patterns seen in prior high-traffic periods. Traders have converged on this range because the documented timeline aligns closely with user reports on outage trackers and avoids extremes of either flawless uptime or widespread multi-day failures. A narrower definition of "down" that excludes short elevated-error windows, or rapid infrastructure scaling that prevented further incidents late in the month, could still shift final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado9-11 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3-5 <1%
6-8 <1%
$59,419 Vol.
$59,419 Vol.
31 may 2026
0-2
No
3-5
No
6-8
No
9-11
Sí
12+
No
9-11 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3-5 <1%
6-8 <1%
$59,419 Vol.
$59,419 Vol.
31 may 2026
0-2
$22,898 Vol.
No
3-5
$4,754 Vol.
No
6-8
$5,188 Vol.
No
9-11
$7,071 Vol.
Sí
12+
$19,508 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's official status page logged multiple resolved incidents of elevated errors across Claude models throughout May 2026, including notable events on May 6, 8, 22, 29, and 30-31, driving the near-certain market-implied odds of 9-11 downtime days. These disruptions, often tied to capacity strains amid rising user demand for the large language models, produced brief but recurring service impacts on claude.ai, the API, and related tools, consistent with patterns seen in prior high-traffic periods. Traders have converged on this range because the documented timeline aligns closely with user reports on outage trackers and avoids extremes of either flawless uptime or widespread multi-day failures. A narrower definition of "down" that excludes short elevated-error windows, or rapid infrastructure scaling that prevented further incidents late in the month, could still shift final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$59,419Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's official status page logged multiple resolved incidents of elevated errors across Claude models throughout May 2026, including notable events on May 6, 8, 22, 29, and 30-31, driving the near-certain market-implied odds of 9-11 downtime days. These disruptions, often tied to capacity strains amid rising user demand for the large language models, produced brief but recurring service impacts on claude.ai, the API, and related tools, consistent with patterns seen in prior high-traffic periods. Traders have converged on this range because the documented timeline aligns closely with user reports on outage trackers and avoids extremes of either flawless uptime or widespread multi-day failures. A narrower definition of "down" that excludes short elevated-error windows, or rapid infrastructure scaling that prevented further incidents late in the month, could still shift final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volumen
$59,419Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Anthropic's official status page logged multiple resolved incidents of elevated errors across Claude models throughout May 2026, including notable events on May 6, 8, 22, 29, and 30-31, driving the near-certain market-implied odds of 9-11 downtime days. These disruptions, often tied to capacity strains amid rising user demand for the large language models, produced brief but recurring service impacts on claude.ai, the API, and related tools, consistent with patterns seen in prior high-traffic periods. Traders have converged on this range because the documented timeline aligns closely with user reports on outage trackers and avoids extremes of either flawless uptime or widespread multi-day failures. A narrower definition of "down" that excludes short elevated-error windows, or rapid infrastructure scaling that prevented further incidents late in the month, could still shift final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes