US government export controls issued shortly after the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5—an advanced large language model from Anthropic with state-of-the-art cybersecurity and biology capabilities—drove the immediate global suspension of access on June 12 to comply with directives limiting use by foreign nationals. Traders see this national security order, which also halted the safer Claude Fable 5 variant, as the core factor behind current outage odds, amid ongoing US-China AI tensions and Anthropic’s Project Glasswing partnerships. Resolution hinges on safeguard enhancements, regulatory negotiations, or a trusted access program expansion, with older Claude models remaining available in the interim.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$344,834 Vol.
22 jun 2026
June 22
No
June 30
Yes
17 de julio
Sí
31 de julio
Sí
$344,834 Vol.
June 22
$2,822 Vol.
No
June 30
$335,164 Vol.
Yes
17 de julio
$3,740 Vol.
Sí
31 de julio
$3,108 Vol.
Sí
In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US government export controls issued shortly after the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5—an advanced large language model from Anthropic with state-of-the-art cybersecurity and biology capabilities—drove the immediate global suspension of access on June 12 to comply with directives limiting use by foreign nationals. Traders see this national security order, which also halted the safer Claude Fable 5 variant, as the core factor behind current outage odds, amid ongoing US-China AI tensions and Anthropic’s Project Glasswing partnerships. Resolution hinges on safeguard enhancements, regulatory negotiations, or a trusted access program expansion, with older Claude models remaining available in the interim.
In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 17, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volumen
$344,834Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US government export controls issued shortly after the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5—an advanced large language model from Anthropic with state-of-the-art cybersecurity and biology capabilities—drove the immediate global suspension of access on June 12 to comply with directives limiting use by foreign nationals. Traders see this national security order, which also halted the safer Claude Fable 5 variant, as the core factor behind current outage odds, amid ongoing US-China AI tensions and Anthropic’s Project Glasswing partnerships. Resolution hinges on safeguard enhancements, regulatory negotiations, or a trusted access program expansion, with older Claude models remaining available in the interim.
In April 2026, Anthropic released the AI model "Claude Mythos 5" in limited availability to approved partners in its Project Glasswing security program. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to Mythos 5 for all customers in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to "Claude Mythos 5," or a model confirmed to be the same model, to at least one US partner or client whose access was previously rescinded, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos 5" or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to accessibility for at least one partner or client whose access was previously rescinded. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$344,834Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
US government export controls issued shortly after the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5—an advanced large language model from Anthropic with state-of-the-art cybersecurity and biology capabilities—drove the immediate global suspension of access on June 12 to comply with directives limiting use by foreign nationals. Traders see this national security order, which also halted the safer Claude Fable 5 variant, as the core factor behind current outage odds, amid ongoing US-China AI tensions and Anthropic’s Project Glasswing partnerships. Resolution hinges on safeguard enhancements, regulatory negotiations, or a trusted access program expansion, with older Claude models remaining available in the interim.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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