Traders see an overwhelming 92.5% chance the Elon Bull Run Parlay misses because Elon Musk’s roughly $725 billion net worth would need explosive simultaneous gains in Tesla valuation, SpaceX equity, and xAI holdings to hit $1 trillion by year-end, while Starship has managed only a single integrated flight test reaching space amid ongoing redesigns, regulatory holds, and reuse delays. A new child could meet the family component yet does little to ease the combined technical and market-execution risk. Recent test cadence and valuation trends reinforce the consensus, though accelerated Starship milestones or unexpected hardware breakthroughs could still narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$10,620 Vol.
$10,620 Vol.
Sí
$10,620 Vol.
$10,620 Vol.
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders see an overwhelming 92.5% chance the Elon Bull Run Parlay misses because Elon Musk’s roughly $725 billion net worth would need explosive simultaneous gains in Tesla valuation, SpaceX equity, and xAI holdings to hit $1 trillion by year-end, while Starship has managed only a single integrated flight test reaching space amid ongoing redesigns, regulatory holds, and reuse delays. A new child could meet the family component yet does little to ease the combined technical and market-execution risk. Recent test cadence and valuation trends reinforce the consensus, though accelerated Starship milestones or unexpected hardware breakthroughs could still narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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