Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, 2026, produced a clear ordering that aligns with current trader consensus on third place. Byron Donalds secured the nomination with roughly 48 percent, followed by Jay Collins at 25 percent, positioning investor James Fishback ahead of Paul Renner and the rest of the field at approximately 10.5 percent. Pre-election polling averages had consistently shown this hierarchy, with Fishback drawing enough support from younger conservative voters and online mobilization to hold third despite limited fundraising and institutional backing. Vote certification and any residual challenges remain the only procedural variables that could alter the final placement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJames Fishback 50.0%
James Walker Shaw 3.3%
Jay Collins 2.9%
Byron Donalds 2.9%
$1,741 Vol.
$1,741 Vol.

James Fishback
50%

James Walker Shaw
3%

Jay Collins
3%

Byron Donalds
3%

Daniel Nokovich
3%

Jim Holcomb
1%

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
1%

Rachel Rodriguez
1%

Caneste Succe
1%

Bobby Williams
1%

Paul Renner
-
James Fishback 50.0%
James Walker Shaw 3.3%
Jay Collins 2.9%
Byron Donalds 2.9%
$1,741 Vol.
$1,741 Vol.

James Fishback
50%

James Walker Shaw
3%

Jay Collins
3%

Byron Donalds
3%

Daniel Nokovich
3%

Jim Holcomb
1%

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
1%

Rachel Rodriguez
1%

Caneste Succe
1%

Bobby Williams
1%

Paul Renner
-
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Florida's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, 2026, produced a clear ordering that aligns with current trader consensus on third place. Byron Donalds secured the nomination with roughly 48 percent, followed by Jay Collins at 25 percent, positioning investor James Fishback ahead of Paul Renner and the rest of the field at approximately 10.5 percent. Pre-election polling averages had consistently shown this hierarchy, with Fishback drawing enough support from younger conservative voters and online mobilization to hold third despite limited fundraising and institutional backing. Vote certification and any residual challenges remain the only procedural variables that could alter the final placement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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