Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport weather station in Ankara, managed by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C on April 18, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and quality-controlled data, reflects a sharp cooling event forecasted by ECMWF and GFS models days prior, amid cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow and cloud cover suppressing highs below the monthly norm of 16–17°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a post hoc data revision from overlooked peak readings or instrument calibration issues—are highly improbable given rigorous monitoring protocols, with resolution imminent upon final MGM confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$204,812 Vol.
$204,812 Vol.
18 abr 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$204,812 Vol.
$204,812 Vol.
18 abr 2026
12°C or below
$10,796 Vol.
No
13°C
$86,071 Vol.
No
14°C
$19,857 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$53,263 Vol.
No
16°C
$9,980 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,478 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,552 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,936 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,484 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,146 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$2,249 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport weather station in Ankara, managed by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C on April 18, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and quality-controlled data, reflects a sharp cooling event forecasted by ECMWF and GFS models days prior, amid cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow and cloud cover suppressing highs below the monthly norm of 16–17°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a post hoc data revision from overlooked peak readings or instrument calibration issues—are highly improbable given rigorous monitoring protocols, with resolution imminent upon final MGM confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$204,812Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport weather station in Ankara, managed by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C on April 18, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and quality-controlled data, reflects a sharp cooling event forecasted by ECMWF and GFS models days prior, amid cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow and cloud cover suppressing highs below the monthly norm of 16–17°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a post hoc data revision from overlooked peak readings or instrument calibration issues—are highly improbable given rigorous monitoring protocols, with resolution imminent upon final MGM confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$204,812Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport weather station in Ankara, managed by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C on April 18, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and quality-controlled data, reflects a sharp cooling event forecasted by ECMWF and GFS models days prior, amid cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow and cloud cover suppressing highs below the monthly norm of 16–17°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a post hoc data revision from overlooked peak readings or instrument calibration issues—are highly improbable given rigorous monitoring protocols, with resolution imminent upon final MGM confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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