Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models like those powering CustomWeather project Ankara's highest temperature on April 19 at around 11°C, with overcast skies and light showers limiting daytime heating amid persistent easterly winds advecting cool continental air. Trader consensus reflects this tight 11–12°C range—29% and 27% implied probabilities—due to model spread on cloud cover thickness and shower timing, where brief sun breaks could nudge peaks to 12–13°C, while denser overcast caps them at 11°C or below. This follows a sharp cool-down from 22°C on April 17 after rainy conditions on the 18th, well below mid-April climatological highs of 16–17°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs overnight may sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
12°C 31%
11°C 29%
13°C 15%
10°C 12%
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
9%
10°C
12%
11°C
29%
12°C
31%
13°C
15%
14°C or higher
11%
12°C 31%
11°C 29%
13°C 15%
10°C 12%
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
9%
10°C
12%
11°C
29%
12°C
31%
13°C
15%
14°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models like those powering CustomWeather project Ankara's highest temperature on April 19 at around 11°C, with overcast skies and light showers limiting daytime heating amid persistent easterly winds advecting cool continental air. Trader consensus reflects this tight 11–12°C range—29% and 27% implied probabilities—due to model spread on cloud cover thickness and shower timing, where brief sun breaks could nudge peaks to 12–13°C, while denser overcast caps them at 11°C or below. This follows a sharp cool-down from 22°C on April 17 after rainy conditions on the 18th, well below mid-April climatological highs of 16–17°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs overnight may sharpen resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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