Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside updates from AccuWeather and the Turkish State Meteorological Service, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 15-16°C under partly sunny conditions with isolated afternoon showers, driving the strong 87.5% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher. This reflects a rebound from today's cooler high near 12°C amid a passing low-pressure system, as upper-level ridging builds over central Turkey, favoring mild spring norms where early April averages hover around 14-17°C. Trader consensus aligns with this data-backed warming trend, though minor model discrepancies leave slim odds for 11°C if cloud cover persists; watch MGM's evening update and tomorrow's hourly observations for final confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
12°C or higher 88%
11°C 8%
10°C 1.1%
9°C 1.0%
$27,337 Vol.
$27,337 Vol.
4 abr 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
88%
12°C or higher 88%
11°C 8%
10°C 1.1%
9°C 1.0%
$27,337 Vol.
$27,337 Vol.
4 abr 2026
2°C or below
$3,822 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$2,958 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$3,366 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$3,091 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$2,792 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$3,449 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,452 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,458 Vol.
1%
10°C
$1,308 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,037 Vol.
8%
12°C or higher
$1,678 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside updates from AccuWeather and the Turkish State Meteorological Service, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 15-16°C under partly sunny conditions with isolated afternoon showers, driving the strong 87.5% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher. This reflects a rebound from today's cooler high near 12°C amid a passing low-pressure system, as upper-level ridging builds over central Turkey, favoring mild spring norms where early April averages hover around 14-17°C. Trader consensus aligns with this data-backed warming trend, though minor model discrepancies leave slim odds for 11°C if cloud cover persists; watch MGM's evening update and tomorrow's hourly observations for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Volumen
$27,337Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside updates from AccuWeather and the Turkish State Meteorological Service, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 15-16°C under partly sunny conditions with isolated afternoon showers, driving the strong 87.5% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher. This reflects a rebound from today's cooler high near 12°C amid a passing low-pressure system, as upper-level ridging builds over central Turkey, favoring mild spring norms where early April averages hover around 14-17°C. Trader consensus aligns with this data-backed warming trend, though minor model discrepancies leave slim odds for 11°C if cloud cover persists; watch MGM's evening update and tomorrow's hourly observations for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$27,337Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside updates from AccuWeather and the Turkish State Meteorological Service, project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 15-16°C under partly sunny conditions with isolated afternoon showers, driving the strong 87.5% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher. This reflects a rebound from today's cooler high near 12°C amid a passing low-pressure system, as upper-level ridging builds over central Turkey, favoring mild spring norms where early April averages hover around 14-17°C. Trader consensus aligns with this data-backed warming trend, though minor model discrepancies leave slim odds for 11°C if cloud cover persists; watch MGM's evening update and tomorrow's hourly observations for final confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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