The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast, updated as of early April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 16°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 6 under partly sunny intervals following recent showers on April 4-5, driving the slim edge for 16°C in trader consensus. However, ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster nearer 14-15°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and boundary layer warming amid a lingering cool continental air mass typical for early spring in central Anatolia. This model spread—spanning 12-18°C—explains the neck-and-neck implied probabilities, with afternoon insolation as the key differentiator; watch for midday forecast updates from MGM and global models that could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
16°C 30%
15°C 29%
14°C 25%
17°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
25%
15°C
29%
16°C
30%
17°C
14%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 30%
15°C 29%
14°C 25%
17°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
9°C or below
$676 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$578 Vol.
1%
11°C
$682 Vol.
1%
12°C
$202 Vol.
2%
13°C
$346 Vol.
6%
14°C
$739 Vol.
25%
15°C
$388 Vol.
29%
16°C
$476 Vol.
30%
17°C
$232 Vol.
14%
18°C
$208 Vol.
4%
19°C or higher
$236 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast, updated as of early April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 16°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 6 under partly sunny intervals following recent showers on April 4-5, driving the slim edge for 16°C in trader consensus. However, ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster nearer 14-15°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and boundary layer warming amid a lingering cool continental air mass typical for early spring in central Anatolia. This model spread—spanning 12-18°C—explains the neck-and-neck implied probabilities, with afternoon insolation as the key differentiator; watch for midday forecast updates from MGM and global models that could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$4,663Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast, updated as of early April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 16°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 6 under partly sunny intervals following recent showers on April 4-5, driving the slim edge for 16°C in trader consensus. However, ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster nearer 14-15°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and boundary layer warming amid a lingering cool continental air mass typical for early spring in central Anatolia. This model spread—spanning 12-18°C—explains the neck-and-neck implied probabilities, with afternoon insolation as the key differentiator; watch for midday forecast updates from MGM and global models that could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,663Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast, updated as of early April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 16°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 6 under partly sunny intervals following recent showers on April 4-5, driving the slim edge for 16°C in trader consensus. However, ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster nearer 14-15°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and boundary layer warming amid a lingering cool continental air mass typical for early spring in central Anatolia. This model spread—spanning 12-18°C—explains the neck-and-neck implied probabilities, with afternoon insolation as the key differentiator; watch for midday forecast updates from MGM and global models that could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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