MetService's latest evening forecast, issued April 2, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport on April 4, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 20°C at 30%. Partly cloudy conditions with a chance of afternoon showers and strengthening northerlies—potentially advecting warmer air from the north—support highs above the April climatological average of 17°C, as seen in yesterday's 16.5°C at nearby Kelburn. However, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing, which could cap peaks at 18°C (16.5%) or push to 21°C (12.3%) if winds clear skies effectively. Watch for MetService's April 3 morning update as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
19°C 37%
20°C 33%
18°C 17%
21°C 12.5%
$23,087 Vol.
$23,087 Vol.
4 abr 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
17%
19°C
37%
20°C
33%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
5%
19°C 37%
20°C 33%
18°C 17%
21°C 12.5%
$23,087 Vol.
$23,087 Vol.
4 abr 2026
12°C or below
$4,989 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,189 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,051 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,139 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,130 Vol.
1%
17°C
$2,111 Vol.
1%
18°C
$952 Vol.
17%
19°C
$1,630 Vol.
37%
20°C
$1,094 Vol.
33%
21°C
$2,173 Vol.
13%
22°C or higher
$1,629 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest evening forecast, issued April 2, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport on April 4, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 20°C at 30%. Partly cloudy conditions with a chance of afternoon showers and strengthening northerlies—potentially advecting warmer air from the north—support highs above the April climatological average of 17°C, as seen in yesterday's 16.5°C at nearby Kelburn. However, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing, which could cap peaks at 18°C (16.5%) or push to 21°C (12.3%) if winds clear skies effectively. Watch for MetService's April 3 morning update as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Volumen
$23,087Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest evening forecast, issued April 2, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport on April 4, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 20°C at 30%. Partly cloudy conditions with a chance of afternoon showers and strengthening northerlies—potentially advecting warmer air from the north—support highs above the April climatological average of 17°C, as seen in yesterday's 16.5°C at nearby Kelburn. However, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing, which could cap peaks at 18°C (16.5%) or push to 21°C (12.3%) if winds clear skies effectively. Watch for MetService's April 3 morning update as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,087Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest evening forecast, issued April 2, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport on April 4, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 20°C at 30%. Partly cloudy conditions with a chance of afternoon showers and strengthening northerlies—potentially advecting warmer air from the north—support highs above the April climatological average of 17°C, as seen in yesterday's 16.5°C at nearby Kelburn. However, model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing, which could cap peaks at 18°C (16.5%) or push to 21°C (12.3%) if winds clear skies effectively. Watch for MetService's April 3 morning update as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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