Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37.5% probability for Houston's highest temperature on April 6 to reach 72-73°F, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts showing a cold front sweeping through Southeast Texas over the Easter weekend, ushering in cooler northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers lingering into Monday. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on highs in the low 70s°F behind the front, a drop from recent 80s°F readings, due to reduced insolation and post-frontal stabilization; uncertainties persist in frontal stall timing and precipitation coverage, with new 12z updates expected to refine odds before resolution at Houston's official observing sites. Historical April averages near 78°F provide context for this below-normal outlook amid active spring pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 6?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 6?
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 17.8%
68-69°F 13%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 17.8%
68-69°F 13%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37.5% probability for Houston's highest temperature on April 6 to reach 72-73°F, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts showing a cold front sweeping through Southeast Texas over the Easter weekend, ushering in cooler northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers lingering into Monday. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on highs in the low 70s°F behind the front, a drop from recent 80s°F readings, due to reduced insolation and post-frontal stabilization; uncertainties persist in frontal stall timing and precipitation coverage, with new 12z updates expected to refine odds before resolution at Houston's official observing sites. Historical April averages near 78°F provide context for this below-normal outlook amid active spring pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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