Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range forecasts and ensemble models from sources like TimeandDate project a daytime high near 16°C in Seoul on April 8 under mostly sunny skies with just 10% precipitation odds, driving trader sentiment toward 15°C or higher at 37.5% implied probability, ahead of 14°C (21.5%) and 13°C (20.5%). Recent weekend rains through April 6 cooled highs to around 18°C before dipping to 15°C on April 7, tempering aggressive warming expectations amid typical early-spring variability influenced by retreating Siberian air masses and jet stream positioning. Climatological norms for early April average 15°C highs, but model consensus highlights moderate uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions; traders await daily KMA refinements for resolution clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
15°C or higher 40%
14°C 22%
13°C 20%
12°C 17%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
13%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
22%
15°C or higher
41%
15°C or higher 40%
14°C 22%
13°C 20%
12°C 17%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
13%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
22%
15°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range forecasts and ensemble models from sources like TimeandDate project a daytime high near 16°C in Seoul on April 8 under mostly sunny skies with just 10% precipitation odds, driving trader sentiment toward 15°C or higher at 37.5% implied probability, ahead of 14°C (21.5%) and 13°C (20.5%). Recent weekend rains through April 6 cooled highs to around 18°C before dipping to 15°C on April 7, tempering aggressive warming expectations amid typical early-spring variability influenced by retreating Siberian air masses and jet stream positioning. Climatological norms for early April average 15°C highs, but model consensus highlights moderate uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions; traders await daily KMA refinements for resolution clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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