Latest Météo-France forecasts alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble models project Paris highs of 17–19°C on April 4, anchoring trader consensus at 64% implied probability for 17°C or higher amid a transitional spring pattern with mild Atlantic air advection and partial high-pressure influence. This marks a rebound from the past week's cool, unsettled conditions in Île-de-France—highs near 12°C today with showers—toward above-normal warmth relative to April's historical mean of 14°C at official stations like Montsouris. Persistent cloudiness introduces uncertainty, boosting 16°C to 28.5%, while new overnight model runs and morning bulletins from Météo-France could refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 4?
17°C or higher 64%
16°C 29%
15°C 8.4%
14°C 1.9%
$20,200 Vol.
$20,200 Vol.
4 abr 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
29%
17°C or higher
64%
17°C or higher 64%
16°C 29%
15°C 8.4%
14°C 1.9%
$20,200 Vol.
$20,200 Vol.
4 abr 2026
7°C or below
$1,825 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,819 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,195 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,417 Vol.
1%
13°C
$2,070 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,731 Vol.
2%
15°C
$1,652 Vol.
8%
16°C
$1,952 Vol.
29%
17°C or higher
$3,716 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble models project Paris highs of 17–19°C on April 4, anchoring trader consensus at 64% implied probability for 17°C or higher amid a transitional spring pattern with mild Atlantic air advection and partial high-pressure influence. This marks a rebound from the past week's cool, unsettled conditions in Île-de-France—highs near 12°C today with showers—toward above-normal warmth relative to April's historical mean of 14°C at official stations like Montsouris. Persistent cloudiness introduces uncertainty, boosting 16°C to 28.5%, while new overnight model runs and morning bulletins from Météo-France could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Volumen
$20,200Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble models project Paris highs of 17–19°C on April 4, anchoring trader consensus at 64% implied probability for 17°C or higher amid a transitional spring pattern with mild Atlantic air advection and partial high-pressure influence. This marks a rebound from the past week's cool, unsettled conditions in Île-de-France—highs near 12°C today with showers—toward above-normal warmth relative to April's historical mean of 14°C at official stations like Montsouris. Persistent cloudiness introduces uncertainty, boosting 16°C to 28.5%, while new overnight model runs and morning bulletins from Météo-France could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,200Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble models project Paris highs of 17–19°C on April 4, anchoring trader consensus at 64% implied probability for 17°C or higher amid a transitional spring pattern with mild Atlantic air advection and partial high-pressure influence. This marks a rebound from the past week's cool, unsettled conditions in Île-de-France—highs near 12°C today with showers—toward above-normal warmth relative to April's historical mean of 14°C at official stations like Montsouris. Persistent cloudiness introduces uncertainty, boosting 16°C to 28.5%, while new overnight model runs and morning bulletins from Météo-France could refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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