Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 28°C high in Shenzhen at 80% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather and similar models projecting peaks near 83°F (28°C) amid intervals of clouds, humidity above 70%, and isolated showers. Southerly winds of 10-15 km/h deliver warm, moist air characteristic of Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, tempered by sea breezes and urban cloud formation that cap temperatures below recent hotter analogs. Historical early April highs average 26-28°C, aligning with current positioning, while model consensus shows low risk of 30°C+ exceeding climatological norms without prolonged sunshine. Hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao'an Airport through sunset (6:39 PM) will confirm the peak, with minor uncertainty (±1°C) from evolving cloud cover.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
28°C 85%
29°C 16%
30°C or higher 1.4%
25°C <1%
$107,195 Vol.
$107,195 Vol.
3 abr 2026
25°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
85%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
1%
28°C 85%
29°C 16%
30°C or higher 1.4%
25°C <1%
$107,195 Vol.
$107,195 Vol.
3 abr 2026
25°C
$6,733 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$33,341 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,710 Vol.
85%
29°C
$5,356 Vol.
16%
30°C or higher
$16,381 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 28°C high in Shenzhen at 80% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather and similar models projecting peaks near 83°F (28°C) amid intervals of clouds, humidity above 70%, and isolated showers. Southerly winds of 10-15 km/h deliver warm, moist air characteristic of Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, tempered by sea breezes and urban cloud formation that cap temperatures below recent hotter analogs. Historical early April highs average 26-28°C, aligning with current positioning, while model consensus shows low risk of 30°C+ exceeding climatological norms without prolonged sunshine. Hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao'an Airport through sunset (6:39 PM) will confirm the peak, with minor uncertainty (±1°C) from evolving cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volumen
$107,195Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 28°C high in Shenzhen at 80% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather and similar models projecting peaks near 83°F (28°C) amid intervals of clouds, humidity above 70%, and isolated showers. Southerly winds of 10-15 km/h deliver warm, moist air characteristic of Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, tempered by sea breezes and urban cloud formation that cap temperatures below recent hotter analogs. Historical early April highs average 26-28°C, aligning with current positioning, while model consensus shows low risk of 30°C+ exceeding climatological norms without prolonged sunshine. Hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao'an Airport through sunset (6:39 PM) will confirm the peak, with minor uncertainty (±1°C) from evolving cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$107,195Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 28°C high in Shenzhen at 80% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather and similar models projecting peaks near 83°F (28°C) amid intervals of clouds, humidity above 70%, and isolated showers. Southerly winds of 10-15 km/h deliver warm, moist air characteristic of Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, tempered by sea breezes and urban cloud formation that cap temperatures below recent hotter analogs. Historical early April highs average 26-28°C, aligning with current positioning, while model consensus shows low risk of 30°C+ exceeding climatological norms without prolonged sunshine. Hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao'an Airport through sunset (6:39 PM) will confirm the peak, with minor uncertainty (±1°C) from evolving cloud cover.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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