Hong Kong Observatory's official bulletin confirms a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at its station on April 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome amid dry conditions, high relative humidity (77-91%), and just 1.0 hour of sunshine. This reading aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April-June, following an unseasonably warm March, and exceeds typical early-April highs around 24-25°C. While regional stations like Tai Po hit 29.6°C, the market resolves solely on HKO data. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from final monthly summaries could shift it, though observations are highly reliable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 3?
27°C 99.9%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$223,789 Vol.
$223,789 Vol.
3 abr 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$223,789 Vol.
$223,789 Vol.
3 abr 2026
19°C or below
$3,372 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,002 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,005 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,216 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,610 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$11,016 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$23,757 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$28,186 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$106,762 Vol.
100%
28°C
$17,973 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$12,892 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official bulletin confirms a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at its station on April 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome amid dry conditions, high relative humidity (77-91%), and just 1.0 hour of sunshine. This reading aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April-June, following an unseasonably warm March, and exceeds typical early-April highs around 24-25°C. While regional stations like Tai Po hit 29.6°C, the market resolves solely on HKO data. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from final monthly summaries could shift it, though observations are highly reliable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volumen
$223,789Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official bulletin confirms a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at its station on April 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome amid dry conditions, high relative humidity (77-91%), and just 1.0 hour of sunshine. This reading aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April-June, following an unseasonably warm March, and exceeds typical early-April highs around 24-25°C. While regional stations like Tai Po hit 29.6°C, the market resolves solely on HKO data. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from final monthly summaries could shift it, though observations are highly reliable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$223,789Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's official bulletin confirms a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at its station on April 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome amid dry conditions, high relative humidity (77-91%), and just 1.0 hour of sunshine. This reading aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April-June, following an unseasonably warm March, and exceeds typical early-April highs around 24-25°C. While regional stations like Tai Po hit 29.6°C, the market resolves solely on HKO data. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from final monthly summaries could shift it, though observations are highly reliable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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