Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest temperature on April 4, 2026, peaked at 26.4°C at its headquarters earlier today, driving trader consensus to 99.6% implied probability for the 26°C outcome amid a trough of low pressure bringing showers and thunderstorms that capped daytime heating. Regional automatic weather stations recorded maxima up to 28.1°C at outlying sites like Yuen Long Park, but market resolution hinges on HKO's official reading at King's Park or headquarters, which stayed below 27°C. Current readings at 18:40 HKT show 24.3°C downtown, with falling temperatures under cloudy skies aligning with seasonal April averages near 25°C during this above-normal warmth forecast for 2026. A late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision could challenge this, though model consensus and diurnal patterns make it improbable; await HKO's daily summary for final confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$113,046 Vol.
$113,046 Vol.
4 abr 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$113,046 Vol.
$113,046 Vol.
4 abr 2026
19°C or below
$5,018 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5,384 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,914 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,457 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8,593 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15,215 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$23,020 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$15,910 Vol.
100%
27°C
$15,213 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,671 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$6,651 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest temperature on April 4, 2026, peaked at 26.4°C at its headquarters earlier today, driving trader consensus to 99.6% implied probability for the 26°C outcome amid a trough of low pressure bringing showers and thunderstorms that capped daytime heating. Regional automatic weather stations recorded maxima up to 28.1°C at outlying sites like Yuen Long Park, but market resolution hinges on HKO's official reading at King's Park or headquarters, which stayed below 27°C. Current readings at 18:40 HKT show 24.3°C downtown, with falling temperatures under cloudy skies aligning with seasonal April averages near 25°C during this above-normal warmth forecast for 2026. A late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision could challenge this, though model consensus and diurnal patterns make it improbable; await HKO's daily summary for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Volumen
$113,046Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest temperature on April 4, 2026, peaked at 26.4°C at its headquarters earlier today, driving trader consensus to 99.6% implied probability for the 26°C outcome amid a trough of low pressure bringing showers and thunderstorms that capped daytime heating. Regional automatic weather stations recorded maxima up to 28.1°C at outlying sites like Yuen Long Park, but market resolution hinges on HKO's official reading at King's Park or headquarters, which stayed below 27°C. Current readings at 18:40 HKT show 24.3°C downtown, with falling temperatures under cloudy skies aligning with seasonal April averages near 25°C during this above-normal warmth forecast for 2026. A late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision could challenge this, though model consensus and diurnal patterns make it improbable; await HKO's daily summary for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$113,046Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest temperature on April 4, 2026, peaked at 26.4°C at its headquarters earlier today, driving trader consensus to 99.6% implied probability for the 26°C outcome amid a trough of low pressure bringing showers and thunderstorms that capped daytime heating. Regional automatic weather stations recorded maxima up to 28.1°C at outlying sites like Yuen Long Park, but market resolution hinges on HKO's official reading at King's Park or headquarters, which stayed below 27°C. Current readings at 18:40 HKT show 24.3°C downtown, with falling temperatures under cloudy skies aligning with seasonal April averages near 25°C during this above-normal warmth forecast for 2026. A late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision could challenge this, though model consensus and diurnal patterns make it improbable; await HKO's daily summary for final confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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