Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race for Dallas's highest temperature on April 4 around 70-73°F, with 70-71°F leading at 28% implied probability amid uncertainty from an incoming low-pressure system. National Weather Service guidance highlights increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm risks Friday afternoon, likely suppressing peak heating at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, the probable resolution site—normal April highs there average 74°F. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models diverge slightly on precipitation timing: earlier showers favor the low-70s by limiting insolation, while delayed onset allows mid-70s. Southerly winds around 10-15 mph add mild advection, but overcast skies differentiate the top bins; watch evening model updates for refined guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
70-71°F 28.0%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 16%
76-77°F 12%
$20,529 Vol.
$20,529 Vol.
4 abr 2026
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 28.0%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 16%
76-77°F 12%
$20,529 Vol.
$20,529 Vol.
4 abr 2026
67°F or below
$2,918 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$1,393 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$1,745 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$1,413 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$1,820 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$1,521 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$2,110 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$1,393 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,605 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$753 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$3,962 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race for Dallas's highest temperature on April 4 around 70-73°F, with 70-71°F leading at 28% implied probability amid uncertainty from an incoming low-pressure system. National Weather Service guidance highlights increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm risks Friday afternoon, likely suppressing peak heating at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, the probable resolution site—normal April highs there average 74°F. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models diverge slightly on precipitation timing: earlier showers favor the low-70s by limiting insolation, while delayed onset allows mid-70s. Southerly winds around 10-15 mph add mild advection, but overcast skies differentiate the top bins; watch evening model updates for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volumen
$20,529Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race for Dallas's highest temperature on April 4 around 70-73°F, with 70-71°F leading at 28% implied probability amid uncertainty from an incoming low-pressure system. National Weather Service guidance highlights increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm risks Friday afternoon, likely suppressing peak heating at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, the probable resolution site—normal April highs there average 74°F. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models diverge slightly on precipitation timing: earlier showers favor the low-70s by limiting insolation, while delayed onset allows mid-70s. Southerly winds around 10-15 mph add mild advection, but overcast skies differentiate the top bins; watch evening model updates for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,529Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race for Dallas's highest temperature on April 4 around 70-73°F, with 70-71°F leading at 28% implied probability amid uncertainty from an incoming low-pressure system. National Weather Service guidance highlights increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm risks Friday afternoon, likely suppressing peak heating at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, the probable resolution site—normal April highs there average 74°F. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models diverge slightly on precipitation timing: earlier showers favor the low-70s by limiting insolation, while delayed onset allows mid-70s. Southerly winds around 10-15 mph add mild advection, but overcast skies differentiate the top bins; watch evening model updates for refined guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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