A recent cold front ushering showers and thunderstorms through North Texas on April 4 has ushered in a cooler, drier post-frontal airmass for April 5, with the National Weather Service forecasting a high near 71°F at Dallas Love Field under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds of 5-10 mph. This aligns with trader consensus assigning 26% implied probability to 70-71°F, reflecting tight model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles on subdued diurnal heating after Saturday's heavy rainfall (1-2 inches possible). Differentiating factors among clustered outcomes include morning low-cloud persistence from residual moisture—favoring 66-67°F (18.5%) if prolonged—or earlier clearing for enhanced insolation pushing toward 72-73°F (21%), with daily NWS updates through Saturday poised to refine guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
68-69°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 19%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
22%
74°F or higher
11%
68-69°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 19%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
22%
74°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...A recent cold front ushering showers and thunderstorms through North Texas on April 4 has ushered in a cooler, drier post-frontal airmass for April 5, with the National Weather Service forecasting a high near 71°F at Dallas Love Field under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds of 5-10 mph. This aligns with trader consensus assigning 26% implied probability to 70-71°F, reflecting tight model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles on subdued diurnal heating after Saturday's heavy rainfall (1-2 inches possible). Differentiating factors among clustered outcomes include morning low-cloud persistence from residual moisture—favoring 66-67°F (18.5%) if prolonged—or earlier clearing for enhanced insolation pushing toward 72-73°F (21%), with daily NWS updates through Saturday poised to refine guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes