MetService's latest forecast for Wellington on April 3 pins the daytime high at 19°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds strengthening in exposed areas and a slight chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability for that outcome. These northerlies are funneling warmer air from the north, elevating expectations above the typical April average high of 16–18°C observed historically from NIWA records, while cloud cover and potential showers cap upside risk for 20°C (22.5%) or higher. Early morning observations show clear conditions around 13°C, with model consensus holding steady; real-time updates from official stations this afternoon will refine the peak temperature before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
19°C 68%
20°C 25%
21°C 6.5%
22°C or higher 2.0%
$86,404 Vol.
$86,404 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
68%
20°C
25%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 68%
20°C 25%
21°C 6.5%
22°C or higher 2.0%
$86,404 Vol.
$86,404 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
68%
20°C
25%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast for Wellington on April 3 pins the daytime high at 19°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds strengthening in exposed areas and a slight chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability for that outcome. These northerlies are funneling warmer air from the north, elevating expectations above the typical April average high of 16–18°C observed historically from NIWA records, while cloud cover and potential showers cap upside risk for 20°C (22.5%) or higher. Early morning observations show clear conditions around 13°C, with model consensus holding steady; real-time updates from official stations this afternoon will refine the peak temperature before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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