MetService's latest forecast, issued early April 2, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and a 20% chance of morning showers, anchoring trader consensus around the tightly clustered 19–21°C outcomes at 25.5–21.5% implied probabilities. This reflects ensemble spread in global models like GFS and ECMWF, where variations in cloud cover, shower timing, and southeasterly flow strength from a nearby low-pressure system could suppress maxima to 19°C via cool marine air advection or allow brief sunny breaks to push toward 21°C. Slightly above the early-April climatological average of 17°C amid NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook, daily refinements through April 5 will clarify as short-range guidance sharpens.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
21°C 28%
18°C 27%
20°C 20%
19°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
27%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
9%
21°C 28%
18°C 27%
20°C 20%
19°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
13°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$394 Vol.
1%
15°C
$667 Vol.
2%
16°C
$61 Vol.
2%
17°C
$49 Vol.
8%
18°C
$91 Vol.
27%
19°C
$175 Vol.
18%
20°C
$60 Vol.
20%
21°C
$78 Vol.
28%
22°C
$160 Vol.
10%
23°C or higher
$90 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued early April 2, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and a 20% chance of morning showers, anchoring trader consensus around the tightly clustered 19–21°C outcomes at 25.5–21.5% implied probabilities. This reflects ensemble spread in global models like GFS and ECMWF, where variations in cloud cover, shower timing, and southeasterly flow strength from a nearby low-pressure system could suppress maxima to 19°C via cool marine air advection or allow brief sunny breaks to push toward 21°C. Slightly above the early-April climatological average of 17°C amid NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook, daily refinements through April 5 will clarify as short-range guidance sharpens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,872Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued early April 2, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and a 20% chance of morning showers, anchoring trader consensus around the tightly clustered 19–21°C outcomes at 25.5–21.5% implied probabilities. This reflects ensemble spread in global models like GFS and ECMWF, where variations in cloud cover, shower timing, and southeasterly flow strength from a nearby low-pressure system could suppress maxima to 19°C via cool marine air advection or allow brief sunny breaks to push toward 21°C. Slightly above the early-April climatological average of 17°C amid NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook, daily refinements through April 5 will clarify as short-range guidance sharpens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,872Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued early April 2, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and a 20% chance of morning showers, anchoring trader consensus around the tightly clustered 19–21°C outcomes at 25.5–21.5% implied probabilities. This reflects ensemble spread in global models like GFS and ECMWF, where variations in cloud cover, shower timing, and southeasterly flow strength from a nearby low-pressure system could suppress maxima to 19°C via cool marine air advection or allow brief sunny breaks to push toward 21°C. Slightly above the early-April climatological average of 17°C amid NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook, daily refinements through April 5 will clarify as short-range guidance sharpens.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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