Following unseasonably cool highs of 15–18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies, haze, and light winds, the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS now forecast a mild rebound to 21–23°C on April 6 under clearer conditions and moderate southerly flows. This clustering drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly matched at 28% for 23°C, 25.5% for 22°C, and 24.5% for 21°C, reflecting ensemble spread on sea breeze strength, residual cloud cover, and afternoon heating potential. Early April climatology averages around 22°C support this range, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; watch IMS updates and fresh 12Z model runs by April 5 evening for refinements ahead of resolution using official NOAA data from Ben Gurion Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 6?
23°C 28%
22°C 23%
21°C 22%
24°C or higher 10.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
9%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
22%
22°C
23%
23°C
28%
24°C or higher
11%
23°C 28%
22°C 23%
21°C 22%
24°C or higher 10.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
14°C or below
$433 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$322 Vol.
1%
17°C
$264 Vol.
1%
18°C
$732 Vol.
9%
19°C
$444 Vol.
4%
20°C
$366 Vol.
9%
21°C
$246 Vol.
22%
22°C
$380 Vol.
23%
23°C
$499 Vol.
28%
24°C or higher
$366 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following unseasonably cool highs of 15–18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies, haze, and light winds, the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS now forecast a mild rebound to 21–23°C on April 6 under clearer conditions and moderate southerly flows. This clustering drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly matched at 28% for 23°C, 25.5% for 22°C, and 24.5% for 21°C, reflecting ensemble spread on sea breeze strength, residual cloud cover, and afternoon heating potential. Early April climatology averages around 22°C support this range, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; watch IMS updates and fresh 12Z model runs by April 5 evening for refinements ahead of resolution using official NOAA data from Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$4,514Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following unseasonably cool highs of 15–18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies, haze, and light winds, the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS now forecast a mild rebound to 21–23°C on April 6 under clearer conditions and moderate southerly flows. This clustering drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly matched at 28% for 23°C, 25.5% for 22°C, and 24.5% for 21°C, reflecting ensemble spread on sea breeze strength, residual cloud cover, and afternoon heating potential. Early April climatology averages around 22°C support this range, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; watch IMS updates and fresh 12Z model runs by April 5 evening for refinements ahead of resolution using official NOAA data from Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,514Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following unseasonably cool highs of 15–18°C in Tel Aviv on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies, haze, and light winds, the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS now forecast a mild rebound to 21–23°C on April 6 under clearer conditions and moderate southerly flows. This clustering drives trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly matched at 28% for 23°C, 25.5% for 22°C, and 24.5% for 21°C, reflecting ensemble spread on sea breeze strength, residual cloud cover, and afternoon heating potential. Early April climatology averages around 22°C support this range, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; watch IMS updates and fresh 12Z model runs by April 5 evening for refinements ahead of resolution using official NOAA data from Ben Gurion Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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