Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (38.5%) and 54-55°F (33.5%) for Denver's April 3 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and NOAA ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid sunny skies but gusty northwest winds of 15-30 mph. These breezy conditions enhance boundary layer mixing, capping surface heating despite ample solar insolation and 850 mb temperatures around 5-7°C following yesterday's 70°F warm-up after record-hot March. Differentiating factors include wind gust timing, minor afternoon cloud development, and urban heat island effects at official measurement sites like Denver International Airport; lower outcomes gain if mixing intensifies, while slight downslope flow could nudge toward 55°F. Monitor hourly observations through afternoon peak, with NWS climate summary post-resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
52-53°F 36%
54-55°F 34%
50-51°F 15%
56-57°F 6%
$37,331 Vol.
$37,331 Vol.
49°F or below
3%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
36%
54-55°F
34%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 36%
54-55°F 34%
50-51°F 15%
56-57°F 6%
$37,331 Vol.
$37,331 Vol.
49°F or below
3%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
36%
54-55°F
34%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (38.5%) and 54-55°F (33.5%) for Denver's April 3 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and NOAA ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid sunny skies but gusty northwest winds of 15-30 mph. These breezy conditions enhance boundary layer mixing, capping surface heating despite ample solar insolation and 850 mb temperatures around 5-7°C following yesterday's 70°F warm-up after record-hot March. Differentiating factors include wind gust timing, minor afternoon cloud development, and urban heat island effects at official measurement sites like Denver International Airport; lower outcomes gain if mixing intensifies, while slight downslope flow could nudge toward 55°F. Monitor hourly observations through afternoon peak, with NWS climate summary post-resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes