Trader consensus favors a high of 67°F or below at 35% implied probability for Austin on April 7, driven by the weekend cold front expected to deliver cooler Canadian air masses, with National Weather Service guidance projecting highs in the low to mid-70s amid lingering clouds and breezy northerlies post-frontal passage. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread between 65°F and 85°F, reflecting uncertainty in frontal stall timing and upper-level trough persistence, which could cap temperatures below climatological April norms of ~80°F or allow rebound if skies clear rapidly. New forecast updates from NOAA daily through resolution will refine these dynamics, as small shifts in boundary layer recovery differentiate the clustered outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 7?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 7?
67°F or below 26%
74-75°F 20%
70-71°F 19%
72-73°F 18%
67°F or below
26%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
8%
67°F or below 26%
74-75°F 20%
70-71°F 19%
72-73°F 18%
67°F or below
26%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 67°F or below at 35% implied probability for Austin on April 7, driven by the weekend cold front expected to deliver cooler Canadian air masses, with National Weather Service guidance projecting highs in the low to mid-70s amid lingering clouds and breezy northerlies post-frontal passage. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread between 65°F and 85°F, reflecting uncertainty in frontal stall timing and upper-level trough persistence, which could cap temperatures below climatological April norms of ~80°F or allow rebound if skies clear rapidly. New forecast updates from NOAA daily through resolution will refine these dynamics, as small shifts in boundary layer recovery differentiate the clustered outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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