Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 52-53°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 2, 2026, backed by official observations from Weather Underground and National Weather Service data confirming a peak of 53°F around mid-afternoon amid persistent overcast skies and cool southwest winds. This positioning reflects verified hourly measurements showing temperatures stabilizing in the low 50s°F under a marine-influenced air mass typical for early April, well below the 57°F climatological normal. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs had converged on this range pre-event, with no significant deviations observed. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS climate summaries—expected today—solidify this outcome given the skin-in-the-game trader alignment with real-time meteorological records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de abril?
52-53°F 99.4%
54-55°F <1%
56-57 °F <1%
58°F o más <1%
$143,994 Vol.
$143,994 Vol.
2 abr 2026
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
99%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57 °F
<1%
58°F o más
<1%
52-53°F 99.4%
54-55°F <1%
56-57 °F <1%
58°F o más <1%
$143,994 Vol.
$143,994 Vol.
2 abr 2026
50-51°F
$17,738 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$12,812 Vol.
99%
54-55°F
$12,921 Vol.
<1%
56-57 °F
$11,891 Vol.
<1%
58°F o más
$10,204 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 52-53°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 2, 2026, backed by official observations from Weather Underground and National Weather Service data confirming a peak of 53°F around mid-afternoon amid persistent overcast skies and cool southwest winds. This positioning reflects verified hourly measurements showing temperatures stabilizing in the low 50s°F under a marine-influenced air mass typical for early April, well below the 57°F climatological normal. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs had converged on this range pre-event, with no significant deviations observed. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS climate summaries—expected today—solidify this outcome given the skin-in-the-game trader alignment with real-time meteorological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$143,994Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 52-53°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 2, 2026, backed by official observations from Weather Underground and National Weather Service data confirming a peak of 53°F around mid-afternoon amid persistent overcast skies and cool southwest winds. This positioning reflects verified hourly measurements showing temperatures stabilizing in the low 50s°F under a marine-influenced air mass typical for early April, well below the 57°F climatological normal. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs had converged on this range pre-event, with no significant deviations observed. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS climate summaries—expected today—solidify this outcome given the skin-in-the-game trader alignment with real-time meteorological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$143,994Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 52-53°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 2, 2026, backed by official observations from Weather Underground and National Weather Service data confirming a peak of 53°F around mid-afternoon amid persistent overcast skies and cool southwest winds. This positioning reflects verified hourly measurements showing temperatures stabilizing in the low 50s°F under a marine-influenced air mass typical for early April, well below the 57°F climatological normal. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs had converged on this range pre-event, with no significant deviations observed. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS climate summaries—expected today—solidify this outcome given the skin-in-the-game trader alignment with real-time meteorological records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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