Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 25% implied probability for a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs showing mild conditions persisting after a recent cold front delivered above-forecast rainfall through April 2, with observed highs stuck in the mid-60s. Lingering marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow cap warming potential, while climatological April averages hover around 72°F at LAX. Key variables include model spread—GFS leans cooler under persistent clouds (favoring 68-71°F outcomes at ~40% combined), ECMWF hints at brief ridging for 74-77°F (24% total)—and clearing skies by midday; new 12z runs expected April 5 could shift odds ahead of resolution using official downtown or airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 15%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
9%
78°F or higher
9%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 15%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
59°F or below
$520 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$973 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$259 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$330 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$100 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$462 Vol.
15%
70-71°F
$263 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$1,097 Vol.
12%
74-75°F
$270 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$156 Vol.
9%
78°F or higher
$1,992 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 25% implied probability for a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs showing mild conditions persisting after a recent cold front delivered above-forecast rainfall through April 2, with observed highs stuck in the mid-60s. Lingering marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow cap warming potential, while climatological April averages hover around 72°F at LAX. Key variables include model spread—GFS leans cooler under persistent clouds (favoring 68-71°F outcomes at ~40% combined), ECMWF hints at brief ridging for 74-77°F (24% total)—and clearing skies by midday; new 12z runs expected April 5 could shift odds ahead of resolution using official downtown or airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Volumen
$6,422Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 25% implied probability for a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs showing mild conditions persisting after a recent cold front delivered above-forecast rainfall through April 2, with observed highs stuck in the mid-60s. Lingering marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow cap warming potential, while climatological April averages hover around 72°F at LAX. Key variables include model spread—GFS leans cooler under persistent clouds (favoring 68-71°F outcomes at ~40% combined), ECMWF hints at brief ridging for 74-77°F (24% total)—and clearing skies by midday; new 12z runs expected April 5 could shift odds ahead of resolution using official downtown or airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,422Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 25% implied probability for a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs showing mild conditions persisting after a recent cold front delivered above-forecast rainfall through April 2, with observed highs stuck in the mid-60s. Lingering marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow cap warming potential, while climatological April averages hover around 72°F at LAX. Key variables include model spread—GFS leans cooler under persistent clouds (favoring 68-71°F outcomes at ~40% combined), ECMWF hints at brief ridging for 74-77°F (24% total)—and clearing skies by midday; new 12z runs expected April 5 could shift odds ahead of resolution using official downtown or airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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