Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global forecast models projecting Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8 near 17-18°C, with 17°C and 18°C leading at 29% and 28.5% implied probabilities amid ensemble spread. Recent JMA one-month outlook released April 2 highlights mild spring conditions with potential warmer spikes above average early April norms (historical highs ~16-18°C), but uncertainty stems from approaching frontal systems that could cap peaks via cloud cover and showers (54-60% precipitation odds in some projections), versus high-pressure persistence favoring 20°C+ (25.5%). Key differentiators include southerly wind strength boosting advection and soil moisture from prior rain suppressing highs; watch JMA's daily updates through April 6 for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 8?
17°C 39%
18°C 28%
16°C 18%
20°C or higher 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
10°C or below
3%
11°C
8%
12°C
8%
13°C
8%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C
18%
17°C
39%
18°C
28%
19°C
12%
20°C or higher
14%
17°C 39%
18°C 28%
16°C 18%
20°C or higher 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
10°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
11°C
$0 Vol.
8%
12°C
$0 Vol.
8%
13°C
$0 Vol.
8%
14°C
$10 Vol.
8%
15°C
$10 Vol.
8%
16°C
$10 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$10 Vol.
28%
19°C
$10 Vol.
12%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global forecast models projecting Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8 near 17-18°C, with 17°C and 18°C leading at 29% and 28.5% implied probabilities amid ensemble spread. Recent JMA one-month outlook released April 2 highlights mild spring conditions with potential warmer spikes above average early April norms (historical highs ~16-18°C), but uncertainty stems from approaching frontal systems that could cap peaks via cloud cover and showers (54-60% precipitation odds in some projections), versus high-pressure persistence favoring 20°C+ (25.5%). Key differentiators include southerly wind strength boosting advection and soil moisture from prior rain suppressing highs; watch JMA's daily updates through April 6 for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$56Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global forecast models projecting Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8 near 17-18°C, with 17°C and 18°C leading at 29% and 28.5% implied probabilities amid ensemble spread. Recent JMA one-month outlook released April 2 highlights mild spring conditions with potential warmer spikes above average early April norms (historical highs ~16-18°C), but uncertainty stems from approaching frontal systems that could cap peaks via cloud cover and showers (54-60% precipitation odds in some projections), versus high-pressure persistence favoring 20°C+ (25.5%). Key differentiators include southerly wind strength boosting advection and soil moisture from prior rain suppressing highs; watch JMA's daily updates through April 6 for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$56Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global forecast models projecting Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8 near 17-18°C, with 17°C and 18°C leading at 29% and 28.5% implied probabilities amid ensemble spread. Recent JMA one-month outlook released April 2 highlights mild spring conditions with potential warmer spikes above average early April norms (historical highs ~16-18°C), but uncertainty stems from approaching frontal systems that could cap peaks via cloud cover and showers (54-60% precipitation odds in some projections), versus high-pressure persistence favoring 20°C+ (25.5%). Key differentiators include southerly wind strength boosting advection and soil moisture from prior rain suppressing highs; watch JMA's daily updates through April 6 for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes