Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (33.5%), 22°C (29.5%), and 23°C or higher (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from divergent models amid Tokyo's variable early spring weather. AccuWeather's latest outlook projects a 23°C high on April 5, with clouds giving way to brighter skies and warmer conditions following April 4's expected windy rain (17°C high), potentially driven by post-frontal high pressure and increased solar heating. However, Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-month release warns of regional warm spikes above average (~19°C historical April highs), but persistent clouds or northerly winds could cap peaks at 21-22°C. JMA and ensemble model updates on April 4 will clarify steering patterns and temperature advection, key differentiators in this tight race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 5 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 5 de abril?
22°C 32%
21°C 30%
23°C o más 25%
20°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
12%
21°C
30%
22°C
32%
23°C o más
25%
22°C 32%
21°C 30%
23°C o más 25%
20°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
13°C o menos
$822 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$922 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$779 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$821 Vol.
1%
17°C
$737 Vol.
2%
18°C
$695 Vol.
3%
19°C
$632 Vol.
6%
20°C
$800 Vol.
12%
21°C
$600 Vol.
30%
22°C
$647 Vol.
32%
23°C o más
$1,155 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (33.5%), 22°C (29.5%), and 23°C or higher (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from divergent models amid Tokyo's variable early spring weather. AccuWeather's latest outlook projects a 23°C high on April 5, with clouds giving way to brighter skies and warmer conditions following April 4's expected windy rain (17°C high), potentially driven by post-frontal high pressure and increased solar heating. However, Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-month release warns of regional warm spikes above average (~19°C historical April highs), but persistent clouds or northerly winds could cap peaks at 21-22°C. JMA and ensemble model updates on April 4 will clarify steering patterns and temperature advection, key differentiators in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$8,610Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (33.5%), 22°C (29.5%), and 23°C or higher (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from divergent models amid Tokyo's variable early spring weather. AccuWeather's latest outlook projects a 23°C high on April 5, with clouds giving way to brighter skies and warmer conditions following April 4's expected windy rain (17°C high), potentially driven by post-frontal high pressure and increased solar heating. However, Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-month release warns of regional warm spikes above average (~19°C historical April highs), but persistent clouds or northerly winds could cap peaks at 21-22°C. JMA and ensemble model updates on April 4 will clarify steering patterns and temperature advection, key differentiators in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,610Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (33.5%), 22°C (29.5%), and 23°C or higher (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from divergent models amid Tokyo's variable early spring weather. AccuWeather's latest outlook projects a 23°C high on April 5, with clouds giving way to brighter skies and warmer conditions following April 4's expected windy rain (17°C high), potentially driven by post-frontal high pressure and increased solar heating. However, Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-month release warns of regional warm spikes above average (~19°C historical April highs), but persistent clouds or northerly winds could cap peaks at 21-22°C. JMA and ensemble model updates on April 4 will clarify steering patterns and temperature advection, key differentiators in this tight race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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