The latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast, issued April 4 at 18:00 JST, projects a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 6 amid cloudy skies and a 30% chance of precipitation following rain on April 4 and a 24°C peak on April 5. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, clusters around 21°C (31.5% implied probability) and 22°C (26.0%), capturing inherent uncertainty in cloud thickness suppressing solar heating and slight station-specific variations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport measurement site. This tight spread reflects ensemble model divergences in southerly warm air advection versus overcast persistence, against a backdrop of above-normal spring warmth evidenced by cherry blossoms reaching full bloom on March 29. Next JMA update expected April 5.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
23°C or higher 18%
$10,192 Vol.
$10,192 Vol.
6 abr 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
18%
21°C
33%
22°C
26%
23°C or higher
18%
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
23°C or higher 18%
$10,192 Vol.
$10,192 Vol.
6 abr 2026
13°C or below
$891 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$902 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$659 Vol.
1%
17°C
$837 Vol.
1%
18°C
$776 Vol.
2%
19°C
$934 Vol.
8%
20°C
$1,202 Vol.
18%
21°C
$842 Vol.
33%
22°C
$913 Vol.
26%
23°C or higher
$1,251 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast, issued April 4 at 18:00 JST, projects a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 6 amid cloudy skies and a 30% chance of precipitation following rain on April 4 and a 24°C peak on April 5. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, clusters around 21°C (31.5% implied probability) and 22°C (26.0%), capturing inherent uncertainty in cloud thickness suppressing solar heating and slight station-specific variations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport measurement site. This tight spread reflects ensemble model divergences in southerly warm air advection versus overcast persistence, against a backdrop of above-normal spring warmth evidenced by cherry blossoms reaching full bloom on March 29. Next JMA update expected April 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volumen
$10,192Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast, issued April 4 at 18:00 JST, projects a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 6 amid cloudy skies and a 30% chance of precipitation following rain on April 4 and a 24°C peak on April 5. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, clusters around 21°C (31.5% implied probability) and 22°C (26.0%), capturing inherent uncertainty in cloud thickness suppressing solar heating and slight station-specific variations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport measurement site. This tight spread reflects ensemble model divergences in southerly warm air advection versus overcast persistence, against a backdrop of above-normal spring warmth evidenced by cherry blossoms reaching full bloom on March 29. Next JMA update expected April 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,192Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast, issued April 4 at 18:00 JST, projects a high of 23°C in Tokyo on April 6 amid cloudy skies and a 30% chance of precipitation following rain on April 4 and a 24°C peak on April 5. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, clusters around 21°C (31.5% implied probability) and 22°C (26.0%), capturing inherent uncertainty in cloud thickness suppressing solar heating and slight station-specific variations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport measurement site. This tight spread reflects ensemble model divergences in southerly warm air advection versus overcast persistence, against a backdrop of above-normal spring warmth evidenced by cherry blossoms reaching full bloom on March 29. Next JMA update expected April 5.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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