Singapore's National Environment Agency (NEA) 4-day forecast, updated April 2, projects a 34°C daily high on April 4 amid light winds and afternoon thundery showers, yet trader consensus on Polymarket prices 32°C (39.5% implied probability) and 31°C (29%) as frontrunners, reflecting skepticism over peak heat realization. This stems from the recent onset of inter-monsoon conditions announced in the latest fortnightly outlook for April 1–15, which anticipates wetter weather with afternoon convection suppressing temperatures via cloud cover and evaporative cooling, often capping observed highs below 33°C despite model guidance of 33–35°C. April climatology supports this, with historical daily maxima averaging 31–32°C at Changi Airport; new observational data and forecast refinements expected later April 3 could shift odds further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on April 4?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 4?
32°C 41%
31°C 28%
33°C 21%
30°C 7.9%
$25,848 Vol.
$25,848 Vol.
4 abr 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
28%
32°C
41%
33°C
21%
34°C or higher
8%
32°C 41%
31°C 28%
33°C 21%
30°C 7.9%
$25,848 Vol.
$25,848 Vol.
4 abr 2026
24°C or below
$3,260 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,632 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,855 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,443 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,595 Vol.
2%
30°C
$2,769 Vol.
8%
31°C
$2,638 Vol.
28%
32°C
$2,205 Vol.
41%
33°C
$2,088 Vol.
21%
34°C or higher
$3,920 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Singapore's National Environment Agency (NEA) 4-day forecast, updated April 2, projects a 34°C daily high on April 4 amid light winds and afternoon thundery showers, yet trader consensus on Polymarket prices 32°C (39.5% implied probability) and 31°C (29%) as frontrunners, reflecting skepticism over peak heat realization. This stems from the recent onset of inter-monsoon conditions announced in the latest fortnightly outlook for April 1–15, which anticipates wetter weather with afternoon convection suppressing temperatures via cloud cover and evaporative cooling, often capping observed highs below 33°C despite model guidance of 33–35°C. April climatology supports this, with historical daily maxima averaging 31–32°C at Changi Airport; new observational data and forecast refinements expected later April 3 could shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volumen
$25,848Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Singapore's National Environment Agency (NEA) 4-day forecast, updated April 2, projects a 34°C daily high on April 4 amid light winds and afternoon thundery showers, yet trader consensus on Polymarket prices 32°C (39.5% implied probability) and 31°C (29%) as frontrunners, reflecting skepticism over peak heat realization. This stems from the recent onset of inter-monsoon conditions announced in the latest fortnightly outlook for April 1–15, which anticipates wetter weather with afternoon convection suppressing temperatures via cloud cover and evaporative cooling, often capping observed highs below 33°C despite model guidance of 33–35°C. April climatology supports this, with historical daily maxima averaging 31–32°C at Changi Airport; new observational data and forecast refinements expected later April 3 could shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,848Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's National Environment Agency (NEA) 4-day forecast, updated April 2, projects a 34°C daily high on April 4 amid light winds and afternoon thundery showers, yet trader consensus on Polymarket prices 32°C (39.5% implied probability) and 31°C (29%) as frontrunners, reflecting skepticism over peak heat realization. This stems from the recent onset of inter-monsoon conditions announced in the latest fortnightly outlook for April 1–15, which anticipates wetter weather with afternoon convection suppressing temperatures via cloud cover and evaporative cooling, often capping observed highs below 33°C despite model guidance of 33–35°C. April climatology supports this, with historical daily maxima averaging 31–32°C at Changi Airport; new observational data and forecast refinements expected later April 3 could shift odds further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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