Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Lucknow on April 3, 2026, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations showing yesterday's maximum of 37.5°C at Lucknow Airport and today's minimum of 23.4°C, with current afternoon readings around 34.7°C at 14:30 IST. IMD's local forecast projects a 38°C peak under clear skies transitioning to mainly clear, but the national bulletin warns of isolated light rainfall and thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh today, potentially capping heating through increased cloud cover, gusty winds (30-40 kmph), and reduced solar insolation. This convective risk amid below-normal temperature trends explains the shift toward 35-36°C (33.5%) over higher outcomes, with updated evening observations key to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
36°C 95%
37°C 2.6%
38°C <1%
40°C <1%
$90,719 Vol.
$90,719 Vol.
3 abr 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
95%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 95%
37°C 2.6%
38°C <1%
40°C <1%
$90,719 Vol.
$90,719 Vol.
3 abr 2026
34°C or below
$21,800 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$17,027 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$14,287 Vol.
95%
37°C
$9,559 Vol.
3%
38°C
$9,453 Vol.
1%
39°C
$4,719 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$5,533 Vol.
1%
41°C
$4,618 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$3,531 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$2,978 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$3,462 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Lucknow on April 3, 2026, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations showing yesterday's maximum of 37.5°C at Lucknow Airport and today's minimum of 23.4°C, with current afternoon readings around 34.7°C at 14:30 IST. IMD's local forecast projects a 38°C peak under clear skies transitioning to mainly clear, but the national bulletin warns of isolated light rainfall and thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh today, potentially capping heating through increased cloud cover, gusty winds (30-40 kmph), and reduced solar insolation. This convective risk amid below-normal temperature trends explains the shift toward 35-36°C (33.5%) over higher outcomes, with updated evening observations key to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volumen
$90,719Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Lucknow on April 3, 2026, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations showing yesterday's maximum of 37.5°C at Lucknow Airport and today's minimum of 23.4°C, with current afternoon readings around 34.7°C at 14:30 IST. IMD's local forecast projects a 38°C peak under clear skies transitioning to mainly clear, but the national bulletin warns of isolated light rainfall and thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh today, potentially capping heating through increased cloud cover, gusty winds (30-40 kmph), and reduced solar insolation. This convective risk amid below-normal temperature trends explains the shift toward 35-36°C (33.5%) over higher outcomes, with updated evening observations key to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$90,719Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Lucknow on April 3, 2026, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations showing yesterday's maximum of 37.5°C at Lucknow Airport and today's minimum of 23.4°C, with current afternoon readings around 34.7°C at 14:30 IST. IMD's local forecast projects a 38°C peak under clear skies transitioning to mainly clear, but the national bulletin warns of isolated light rainfall and thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh today, potentially capping heating through increased cloud cover, gusty winds (30-40 kmph), and reduced solar insolation. This convective risk amid below-normal temperature trends explains the shift toward 35-36°C (33.5%) over higher outcomes, with updated evening observations key to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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