Latest Météo-France guidance for the April 6-12 week forecasts a sunny, very warm start for the season in Paris, driving trader sentiment toward highs of 20-24°C at around 17-18% each, while elevating 28°C or higher to 25.5% on potential high-pressure ridging and southerly flow. Counterbalancing this, 25% market-implied odds for 18°C or below reflect ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS models, where a lingering post-March cold snap could introduce northerly winds or clouds capping peaks. Historical April highs average 16°C (Saffir-Simpson not applicable), with spring volatility amplified by neutral ENSO conditions; daily 00Z model updates and Arome high-resolution runs will clarify boundary layer mixing and peak temperature thresholds by resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 7?
21°C 20%
24°C 20%
23°C 17%
22°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
18°C or below
5%
19°C
14%
20°C
11%
21°C
20%
22°C
19%
23°C
17%
24°C
20%
25°C
10%
26°C
11%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
2%
21°C 20%
24°C 20%
23°C 17%
22°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
18°C or below
$117 Vol.
5%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$47 Vol.
19%
23°C
$31 Vol.
17%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
11%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C or higher
$195 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance for the April 6-12 week forecasts a sunny, very warm start for the season in Paris, driving trader sentiment toward highs of 20-24°C at around 17-18% each, while elevating 28°C or higher to 25.5% on potential high-pressure ridging and southerly flow. Counterbalancing this, 25% market-implied odds for 18°C or below reflect ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS models, where a lingering post-March cold snap could introduce northerly winds or clouds capping peaks. Historical April highs average 16°C (Saffir-Simpson not applicable), with spring volatility amplified by neutral ENSO conditions; daily 00Z model updates and Arome high-resolution runs will clarify boundary layer mixing and peak temperature thresholds by resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$391Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance for the April 6-12 week forecasts a sunny, very warm start for the season in Paris, driving trader sentiment toward highs of 20-24°C at around 17-18% each, while elevating 28°C or higher to 25.5% on potential high-pressure ridging and southerly flow. Counterbalancing this, 25% market-implied odds for 18°C or below reflect ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS models, where a lingering post-March cold snap could introduce northerly winds or clouds capping peaks. Historical April highs average 16°C (Saffir-Simpson not applicable), with spring volatility amplified by neutral ENSO conditions; daily 00Z model updates and Arome high-resolution runs will clarify boundary layer mixing and peak temperature thresholds by resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$391Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France guidance for the April 6-12 week forecasts a sunny, very warm start for the season in Paris, driving trader sentiment toward highs of 20-24°C at around 17-18% each, while elevating 28°C or higher to 25.5% on potential high-pressure ridging and southerly flow. Counterbalancing this, 25% market-implied odds for 18°C or below reflect ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS models, where a lingering post-March cold snap could introduce northerly winds or clouds capping peaks. Historical April highs average 16°C (Saffir-Simpson not applicable), with spring volatility amplified by neutral ENSO conditions; daily 00Z model updates and Arome high-resolution runs will clarify boundary layer mixing and peak temperature thresholds by resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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