Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting a high temperature of 62-66°F at LaGuardia Airport today, with 62-63°F, 64-65°F, and 66-67°F bins each hovering around 20-22% implied probability. This clustering stems from mild south-southeasterly flow under a weak upper-level ridge promoting highs well above the 56°F climatological normal, tempered by lingering morning fog and potential sea breeze development onshore. Model spreads arise from divergent handling of boundary layer mixing and low-level moisture persistence, which could cap peaks by 2-4°F. Hourly observations from the LaGuardia station will sharpen resolution by evening, alongside any late-day forecast tweaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on April 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?
62-63°F 23%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 19%
60-61°F 16%
$122,632 Vol.
$122,632 Vol.
3 abr 2026
59°F or below
10%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 23%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 19%
60-61°F 16%
$122,632 Vol.
$122,632 Vol.
3 abr 2026
59°F or below
$24,573 Vol.
10%
60-61°F
$10,071 Vol.
16%
62-63°F
$10,133 Vol.
23%
64-65°F
$9,207 Vol.
19%
66-67°F
$7,589 Vol.
22%
68-69°F
$11,465 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$12,189 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10,890 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$7,573 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$12,247 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$6,897 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting a high temperature of 62-66°F at LaGuardia Airport today, with 62-63°F, 64-65°F, and 66-67°F bins each hovering around 20-22% implied probability. This clustering stems from mild south-southeasterly flow under a weak upper-level ridge promoting highs well above the 56°F climatological normal, tempered by lingering morning fog and potential sea breeze development onshore. Model spreads arise from divergent handling of boundary layer mixing and low-level moisture persistence, which could cap peaks by 2-4°F. Hourly observations from the LaGuardia station will sharpen resolution by evening, alongside any late-day forecast tweaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volumen
$122,632Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting a high temperature of 62-66°F at LaGuardia Airport today, with 62-63°F, 64-65°F, and 66-67°F bins each hovering around 20-22% implied probability. This clustering stems from mild south-southeasterly flow under a weak upper-level ridge promoting highs well above the 56°F climatological normal, tempered by lingering morning fog and potential sea breeze development onshore. Model spreads arise from divergent handling of boundary layer mixing and low-level moisture persistence, which could cap peaks by 2-4°F. Hourly observations from the LaGuardia station will sharpen resolution by evening, alongside any late-day forecast tweaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$122,632Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting a high temperature of 62-66°F at LaGuardia Airport today, with 62-63°F, 64-65°F, and 66-67°F bins each hovering around 20-22% implied probability. This clustering stems from mild south-southeasterly flow under a weak upper-level ridge promoting highs well above the 56°F climatological normal, tempered by lingering morning fog and potential sea breeze development onshore. Model spreads arise from divergent handling of boundary layer mixing and low-level moisture persistence, which could cap peaks by 2-4°F. Hourly observations from the LaGuardia station will sharpen resolution by evening, alongside any late-day forecast tweaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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