Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS project Paris highs of 14–17°C on April 6 amid a cool, cloudy air mass with 40–50% precipitation chances, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 16°C and 17°C each at 29% implied probability. This tight clustering reflects model agreement on suppressed temperatures below April norms (~15°C average), influenced by northerly flow and persistent mid-level cloud cover limiting solar heating, though minor spreads in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing differentiate the leaders—ECMWF ensembles slightly cooler, GFS marginally warmer. Genuine uncertainty persists in short-range forecasts, with daily updates through April 5 poised to sharpen resolution based on evolving observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
16°C 31%
17°C 26%
15°C 19%
18°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
14°C or below
14%
15°C
19%
16°C
31%
17°C
22%
18°C
13%
19°C
9%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
16°C 31%
17°C 26%
15°C 19%
18°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
14°C or below
$279 Vol.
14%
15°C
$161 Vol.
19%
16°C
$252 Vol.
31%
17°C
$185 Vol.
22%
18°C
$259 Vol.
13%
19°C
$906 Vol.
9%
20°C
$164 Vol.
4%
21°C
$118 Vol.
2%
22°C
$142 Vol.
2%
23°C
$138 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$476 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS project Paris highs of 14–17°C on April 6 amid a cool, cloudy air mass with 40–50% precipitation chances, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 16°C and 17°C each at 29% implied probability. This tight clustering reflects model agreement on suppressed temperatures below April norms (~15°C average), influenced by northerly flow and persistent mid-level cloud cover limiting solar heating, though minor spreads in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing differentiate the leaders—ECMWF ensembles slightly cooler, GFS marginally warmer. Genuine uncertainty persists in short-range forecasts, with daily updates through April 5 poised to sharpen resolution based on evolving observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$3,080Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS project Paris highs of 14–17°C on April 6 amid a cool, cloudy air mass with 40–50% precipitation chances, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 16°C and 17°C each at 29% implied probability. This tight clustering reflects model agreement on suppressed temperatures below April norms (~15°C average), influenced by northerly flow and persistent mid-level cloud cover limiting solar heating, though minor spreads in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing differentiate the leaders—ECMWF ensembles slightly cooler, GFS marginally warmer. Genuine uncertainty persists in short-range forecasts, with daily updates through April 5 poised to sharpen resolution based on evolving observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,080Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS project Paris highs of 14–17°C on April 6 amid a cool, cloudy air mass with 40–50% precipitation chances, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 16°C and 17°C each at 29% implied probability. This tight clustering reflects model agreement on suppressed temperatures below April norms (~15°C average), influenced by northerly flow and persistent mid-level cloud cover limiting solar heating, though minor spreads in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing differentiate the leaders—ECMWF ensembles slightly cooler, GFS marginally warmer. Genuine uncertainty persists in short-range forecasts, with daily updates through April 5 poised to sharpen resolution based on evolving observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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