Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble means project Paris highs of 14–15°C on April 5 at Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's resolution station, under persistent overcast skies with scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, with 14°C leading due to the control run's 14.2°C peak amid southwest winds and boundary layer stability suppressing mixing; 15–16°C odds hinge on potential afternoon cloud breaks in outlier GFS members. Recent Île-de-France cooling from early April fronts has kept daily maxes below 14°C, but a mild warm-up trend adds uncertainty. New 12z model runs and April 4 observations could refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 5 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 5 de abril?
14°C 37%
15°C 30%
16°C 19%
13°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
10°C o menos
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
11%
14°C
37%
15°C
30%
16°C
19%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C o más
1%
14°C 37%
15°C 30%
16°C 19%
13°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
10°C o menos
$815 Vol.
1%
11°C
$580 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$565 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,109 Vol.
11%
14°C
$1,182 Vol.
37%
15°C
$839 Vol.
30%
16°C
$1,430 Vol.
19%
17°C
$1,180 Vol.
4%
18°C
$445 Vol.
2%
19°C
$439 Vol.
1%
20°C o más
$392 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble means project Paris highs of 14–15°C on April 5 at Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's resolution station, under persistent overcast skies with scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, with 14°C leading due to the control run's 14.2°C peak amid southwest winds and boundary layer stability suppressing mixing; 15–16°C odds hinge on potential afternoon cloud breaks in outlier GFS members. Recent Île-de-France cooling from early April fronts has kept daily maxes below 14°C, but a mild warm-up trend adds uncertainty. New 12z model runs and April 4 observations could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$8,977Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble means project Paris highs of 14–15°C on April 5 at Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's resolution station, under persistent overcast skies with scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, with 14°C leading due to the control run's 14.2°C peak amid southwest winds and boundary layer stability suppressing mixing; 15–16°C odds hinge on potential afternoon cloud breaks in outlier GFS members. Recent Île-de-France cooling from early April fronts has kept daily maxes below 14°C, but a mild warm-up trend adds uncertainty. New 12z model runs and April 4 observations could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,977Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble means project Paris highs of 14–15°C on April 5 at Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's resolution station, under persistent overcast skies with scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, with 14°C leading due to the control run's 14.2°C peak amid southwest winds and boundary layer stability suppressing mixing; 15–16°C odds hinge on potential afternoon cloud breaks in outlier GFS members. Recent Île-de-France cooling from early April fronts has kept daily maxes below 14°C, but a mild warm-up trend adds uncertainty. New 12z model runs and April 4 observations could refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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