Latest forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 7 around 20-22°C, with 20°C emerging as trader consensus at 26% implied probability amid overcast conditions and scattered showers. Recent weakening of a cold front has lifted early April highs into the mid-20s°C over the past 48 hours, but incoming mid-level clouds and basin-trapped moisture—characteristic of Chongqing's Yangtze River topography—favor moderation, differentiating closely matched 19°C (17.5%) and 24°C (13%) outcomes through variable insolation and diel heating. Climatological early-April averages hover near 21°C, underscoring inherent spring forecast uncertainty; watch CMA updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Jiangbei Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 7?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 7?
20°C 26%
21°C 20%
22°C 20%
23°C 19%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
26%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
19%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
14%
20°C 26%
21°C 20%
22°C 20%
23°C 19%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
26%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
19%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 7 around 20-22°C, with 20°C emerging as trader consensus at 26% implied probability amid overcast conditions and scattered showers. Recent weakening of a cold front has lifted early April highs into the mid-20s°C over the past 48 hours, but incoming mid-level clouds and basin-trapped moisture—characteristic of Chongqing's Yangtze River topography—favor moderation, differentiating closely matched 19°C (17.5%) and 24°C (13%) outcomes through variable insolation and diel heating. Climatological early-April averages hover near 21°C, underscoring inherent spring forecast uncertainty; watch CMA updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Jiangbei Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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