Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 21–23°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast as of April 3 projecting a 21°C peak under light rain conditions, down from prior runs near 26–27°C. This reflects springtime variability in the Yangtze River basin, where frequent cloud cover and showers—common during Qingming Festival season—cap daytime highs below the monthly average of 23°C, per historical data at Jiangbei Airport station. Differentiating factors include model spread on precipitation intensity: heavier showers favor 21°C, while lighter or delayed rain could allow 23–24°C via partial solar heating. Updated CMA guidance expected twice daily may shift odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
22°C 22%
23°C 21%
21°C 20%
24°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
20%
22°C
22%
23°C
21%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 22%
23°C 21%
21°C 20%
24°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
17°C or below
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,631 Vol.
1%
19°C
$488 Vol.
4%
20°C
$471 Vol.
6%
21°C
$454 Vol.
20%
22°C
$407 Vol.
22%
23°C
$345 Vol.
21%
24°C
$381 Vol.
14%
25°C
$428 Vol.
3%
26°C
$752 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$378 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 21–23°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast as of April 3 projecting a 21°C peak under light rain conditions, down from prior runs near 26–27°C. This reflects springtime variability in the Yangtze River basin, where frequent cloud cover and showers—common during Qingming Festival season—cap daytime highs below the monthly average of 23°C, per historical data at Jiangbei Airport station. Differentiating factors include model spread on precipitation intensity: heavier showers favor 21°C, while lighter or delayed rain could allow 23–24°C via partial solar heating. Updated CMA guidance expected twice daily may shift odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Volumen
$6,785Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 21–23°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast as of April 3 projecting a 21°C peak under light rain conditions, down from prior runs near 26–27°C. This reflects springtime variability in the Yangtze River basin, where frequent cloud cover and showers—common during Qingming Festival season—cap daytime highs below the monthly average of 23°C, per historical data at Jiangbei Airport station. Differentiating factors include model spread on precipitation intensity: heavier showers favor 21°C, while lighter or delayed rain could allow 23–24°C via partial solar heating. Updated CMA guidance expected twice daily may shift odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,785Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 21–23°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast as of April 3 projecting a 21°C peak under light rain conditions, down from prior runs near 26–27°C. This reflects springtime variability in the Yangtze River basin, where frequent cloud cover and showers—common during Qingming Festival season—cap daytime highs below the monthly average of 23°C, per historical data at Jiangbei Airport station. Differentiating factors include model spread on precipitation intensity: heavier showers favor 21°C, while lighter or delayed rain could allow 23–24°C via partial solar heating. Updated CMA guidance expected twice daily may shift odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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