Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF indicate Chongqing's high on April 4 will peak near 27-28°C under mostly sunny skies, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze River basin suppressing clouds and fostering daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26-28°C (market-implied probabilities of 24-30%) due to subtle model divergences: some ensembles show partial afternoon cloudiness capping at 26°C, while others project clearer conditions and urban heat island effects at Jiangbei International Airport— the official resolution station—pushing toward 28°C. Early April climatology averages 22-23°C highs, but recent warming trends from March's cooler 18-22°C days have elevated expectations; watch hourly updates for shifts in peak diurnal temperatures before observations finalize tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
27°C 31%
28°C 26%
26°C 25%
29°C 12%
$17,351 Vol.
$17,351 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
25%
27°C
31%
28°C
26%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 31%
28°C 26%
26°C 25%
29°C 12%
$17,351 Vol.
$17,351 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
25%
27°C
31%
28°C
26%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF indicate Chongqing's high on April 4 will peak near 27-28°C under mostly sunny skies, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze River basin suppressing clouds and fostering daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26-28°C (market-implied probabilities of 24-30%) due to subtle model divergences: some ensembles show partial afternoon cloudiness capping at 26°C, while others project clearer conditions and urban heat island effects at Jiangbei International Airport— the official resolution station—pushing toward 28°C. Early April climatology averages 22-23°C highs, but recent warming trends from March's cooler 18-22°C days have elevated expectations; watch hourly updates for shifts in peak diurnal temperatures before observations finalize tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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