Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 19°C (61% implied probability) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts relayed via Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, projecting daytime highs near 19-20°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain on April 3. Global ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing peaks around 20°C but with downward adjustments from recent observational data indicating cooler morning starts (around 12-13°C lows) and limited solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical airport highs averaging 19-21°C amid typical spring frontal systems. Uncertainties persist in cloud breaks or wind shifts; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground hourly records from the airport station later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
20°C 94%
19°C 8%
21°C 1.7%
22°C 1.4%
$55,014 Vol.
$55,014 Vol.
3 abr 2026
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
8%
20°C
94%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 94%
19°C 8%
21°C 1.7%
22°C 1.4%
$55,014 Vol.
$55,014 Vol.
3 abr 2026
17°C
$6,729 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$8,379 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$7,422 Vol.
8%
20°C
$4,710 Vol.
94%
21°C
$5,495 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5,296 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5,102 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,949 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,641 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$3,052 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 19°C (61% implied probability) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts relayed via Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, projecting daytime highs near 19-20°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain on April 3. Global ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing peaks around 20°C but with downward adjustments from recent observational data indicating cooler morning starts (around 12-13°C lows) and limited solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical airport highs averaging 19-21°C amid typical spring frontal systems. Uncertainties persist in cloud breaks or wind shifts; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground hourly records from the airport station later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volumen
$55,014Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 19°C (61% implied probability) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts relayed via Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, projecting daytime highs near 19-20°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain on April 3. Global ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing peaks around 20°C but with downward adjustments from recent observational data indicating cooler morning starts (around 12-13°C lows) and limited solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical airport highs averaging 19-21°C amid typical spring frontal systems. Uncertainties persist in cloud breaks or wind shifts; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground hourly records from the airport station later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$55,014Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 19°C (61% implied probability) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts relayed via Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, projecting daytime highs near 19-20°C under persistent cloudy skies and light rain on April 3. Global ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing peaks around 20°C but with downward adjustments from recent observational data indicating cooler morning starts (around 12-13°C lows) and limited solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Early April climatology supports this range, with historical airport highs averaging 19-21°C amid typical spring frontal systems. Uncertainties persist in cloud breaks or wind shifts; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground hourly records from the airport station later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes