Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for Houston's highest temperature on April 7 to reach 67°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts of a cold front arriving over the Easter weekend (April 5-6), ushering in cooler post-frontal air masses with northerly winds and scattered showers. Recent developments, including NWS updates on April 3 highlighting heaviest rain Saturday afternoon, have boosted cool outcomes as model ensembles like GFS show highs clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s, below the April 7 historical average of 77.5°F. A 25% implied chance for 86°F or higher reflects uncertainty in frontal stall or weakening, potentially allowing pre-frontal warmth to linger. New forecast runs expected daily from NWS Houston/Galveston could refine these probabilities amid inherent short-range variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 7?
70-71°F 17%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 3.4%
82-83°F 2.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
67°F or below
41%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
6%
86°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 17%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 3.4%
82-83°F 2.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
67°F or below
$2,977 Vol.
41%
68-69°F
$21 Vol.
17%
70-71°F
$21 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$21 Vol.
17%
74-75°F
$47 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$21 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$21 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$21 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$21 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$172 Vol.
6%
86°F or higher
$209 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for Houston's highest temperature on April 7 to reach 67°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts of a cold front arriving over the Easter weekend (April 5-6), ushering in cooler post-frontal air masses with northerly winds and scattered showers. Recent developments, including NWS updates on April 3 highlighting heaviest rain Saturday afternoon, have boosted cool outcomes as model ensembles like GFS show highs clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s, below the April 7 historical average of 77.5°F. A 25% implied chance for 86°F or higher reflects uncertainty in frontal stall or weakening, potentially allowing pre-frontal warmth to linger. New forecast runs expected daily from NWS Houston/Galveston could refine these probabilities amid inherent short-range variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volumen
$2,563Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for Houston's highest temperature on April 7 to reach 67°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts of a cold front arriving over the Easter weekend (April 5-6), ushering in cooler post-frontal air masses with northerly winds and scattered showers. Recent developments, including NWS updates on April 3 highlighting heaviest rain Saturday afternoon, have boosted cool outcomes as model ensembles like GFS show highs clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s, below the April 7 historical average of 77.5°F. A 25% implied chance for 86°F or higher reflects uncertainty in frontal stall or weakening, potentially allowing pre-frontal warmth to linger. New forecast runs expected daily from NWS Houston/Galveston could refine these probabilities amid inherent short-range variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,563Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for Houston's highest temperature on April 7 to reach 67°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts of a cold front arriving over the Easter weekend (April 5-6), ushering in cooler post-frontal air masses with northerly winds and scattered showers. Recent developments, including NWS updates on April 3 highlighting heaviest rain Saturday afternoon, have boosted cool outcomes as model ensembles like GFS show highs clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s, below the April 7 historical average of 77.5°F. A 25% implied chance for 86°F or higher reflects uncertainty in frontal stall or weakening, potentially allowing pre-frontal warmth to linger. New forecast runs expected daily from NWS Houston/Galveston could refine these probabilities amid inherent short-range variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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