Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, with models like GFS and ECMWF diverging on the timing of an incoming cold front and associated cloud cover. Southerly winds at 10-15 mph will advect warm, moist Gulf air, supporting potential highs near 77°F normal for early April at Houston Intercontinental Airport, but scattered showers and thunderstorms expected Saturday afternoon—per latest NWS Houston/Galveston guidance—could cap peaks in the 68-73°F range via increased overcast skies and evaporative cooling. Recent 24-hour updates show slight warming trends from prior 71°F projections, yet marginal severe weather risk adds variability; watch morning forecast refinements for frontal progression, which could tip outcomes toward 70-73°F or cooler if precip intensifies early.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 22%
72-73°F 22%
76°F or higher 18%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
15%
76°F or higher
18%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 22%
72-73°F 22%
76°F or higher 18%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
15%
76°F or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, with models like GFS and ECMWF diverging on the timing of an incoming cold front and associated cloud cover. Southerly winds at 10-15 mph will advect warm, moist Gulf air, supporting potential highs near 77°F normal for early April at Houston Intercontinental Airport, but scattered showers and thunderstorms expected Saturday afternoon—per latest NWS Houston/Galveston guidance—could cap peaks in the 68-73°F range via increased overcast skies and evaporative cooling. Recent 24-hour updates show slight warming trends from prior 71°F projections, yet marginal severe weather risk adds variability; watch morning forecast refinements for frontal progression, which could tip outcomes toward 70-73°F or cooler if precip intensifies early.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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