Official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated station, recorded a maximum temperature of 82°F on April 2, 2026, around 2 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. This aligned with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus from HRRR and GFS ensembles projecting highs in the low 80s under a mid-level ridge fostering light southerly winds (5-10 kt) and partial sunshine, with dewpoints near 70°F capping heat index but allowing efficient daytime heating above the April climatological normal of 77°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, though verified ASOS readings make this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 2?
82-83°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$50,705 Vol.
$50,705 Vol.
2 abr 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$50,705 Vol.
$50,705 Vol.
2 abr 2026
69°F or below
$1,427 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$3,611 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$3,795 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$6,000 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$4,126 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$4,878 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$4,596 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$9,874 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$4,749 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,104 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$4,545 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated station, recorded a maximum temperature of 82°F on April 2, 2026, around 2 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. This aligned with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus from HRRR and GFS ensembles projecting highs in the low 80s under a mid-level ridge fostering light southerly winds (5-10 kt) and partial sunshine, with dewpoints near 70°F capping heat index but allowing efficient daytime heating above the April climatological normal of 77°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, though verified ASOS readings make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Volumen
$50,705Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated station, recorded a maximum temperature of 82°F on April 2, 2026, around 2 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. This aligned with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus from HRRR and GFS ensembles projecting highs in the low 80s under a mid-level ridge fostering light southerly winds (5-10 kt) and partial sunshine, with dewpoints near 70°F capping heat index but allowing efficient daytime heating above the April climatological normal of 77°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, though verified ASOS readings make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$50,705Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated station, recorded a maximum temperature of 82°F on April 2, 2026, around 2 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. This aligned with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus from HRRR and GFS ensembles projecting highs in the low 80s under a mid-level ridge fostering light southerly winds (5-10 kt) and partial sunshine, with dewpoints near 70°F capping heat index but allowing efficient daytime heating above the April climatological normal of 77°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, though verified ASOS readings make this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes