National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a high near 83°F at William P. Hobby Airport on April 4, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing ahead of an approaching cold front, anchoring trader-implied probabilities at 42.5% for 80-81°F and 28.5% for 82-83°F. Persistent southerly winds have delivered warm, humid air—evident in yesterday's 82°F maximum—while model consensus from GFS and ECMWF anticipates peak heating midday before afternoon cloud cover and precipitation curb temperatures, with 78-79°F at 24.5% reflecting risks from earlier front arrival. Marginal severe weather risk adds uncertainty, but hourly updates today will refine guidance ahead of resolution. April normals hover around 79°F, underscoring the mild anomaly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 4?
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 28%
76-77°F 3.3%
$12,814 Vol.
$12,814 Vol.
4 abr 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 28%
76-77°F 3.3%
$12,814 Vol.
$12,814 Vol.
4 abr 2026
71°F or below
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$957 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$798 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$879 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$1,084 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$618 Vol.
42%
82-83°F
$639 Vol.
28%
84-85°F
$892 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$860 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$2,682 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a high near 83°F at William P. Hobby Airport on April 4, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing ahead of an approaching cold front, anchoring trader-implied probabilities at 42.5% for 80-81°F and 28.5% for 82-83°F. Persistent southerly winds have delivered warm, humid air—evident in yesterday's 82°F maximum—while model consensus from GFS and ECMWF anticipates peak heating midday before afternoon cloud cover and precipitation curb temperatures, with 78-79°F at 24.5% reflecting risks from earlier front arrival. Marginal severe weather risk adds uncertainty, but hourly updates today will refine guidance ahead of resolution. April normals hover around 79°F, underscoring the mild anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volumen
$12,814Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a high near 83°F at William P. Hobby Airport on April 4, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing ahead of an approaching cold front, anchoring trader-implied probabilities at 42.5% for 80-81°F and 28.5% for 82-83°F. Persistent southerly winds have delivered warm, humid air—evident in yesterday's 82°F maximum—while model consensus from GFS and ECMWF anticipates peak heating midday before afternoon cloud cover and precipitation curb temperatures, with 78-79°F at 24.5% reflecting risks from earlier front arrival. Marginal severe weather risk adds uncertainty, but hourly updates today will refine guidance ahead of resolution. April normals hover around 79°F, underscoring the mild anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,814Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a high near 83°F at William P. Hobby Airport on April 4, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing ahead of an approaching cold front, anchoring trader-implied probabilities at 42.5% for 80-81°F and 28.5% for 82-83°F. Persistent southerly winds have delivered warm, humid air—evident in yesterday's 82°F maximum—while model consensus from GFS and ECMWF anticipates peak heating midday before afternoon cloud cover and precipitation curb temperatures, with 78-79°F at 24.5% reflecting risks from earlier front arrival. Marginal severe weather risk adds uncertainty, but hourly updates today will refine guidance ahead of resolution. April normals hover around 79°F, underscoring the mild anomaly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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