India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow on April 4 under mainly clear skies turning partly cloudy, with possible thundery development and light rain in the afternoon, accompanied by gusty winds of 30-40 kmph. This reflects a 2°C drop from today's projected 38°C peak, driven by an active western disturbance ushering cooler air and scattered thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh, following recent highs near 37.5°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 33-35°C (86.5% implied probability combined), as cloud cover reduces solar insolation and convective activity enhances evaporative cooling, creating uncertainty in exact peak amid model variations on precipitation timing. Final resolution hinges on official station measurements; monitor IMD updates through the day for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 4?
33°C or below 36.1%
34°C 33%
35°C 18%
36°C 9%
$29,215 Vol.
$29,215 Vol.
33°C or below
36%
34°C
33%
35°C
18%
36°C
9%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 36.1%
34°C 33%
35°C 18%
36°C 9%
$29,215 Vol.
$29,215 Vol.
33°C or below
36%
34°C
33%
35°C
18%
36°C
9%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow on April 4 under mainly clear skies turning partly cloudy, with possible thundery development and light rain in the afternoon, accompanied by gusty winds of 30-40 kmph. This reflects a 2°C drop from today's projected 38°C peak, driven by an active western disturbance ushering cooler air and scattered thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh, following recent highs near 37.5°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 33-35°C (86.5% implied probability combined), as cloud cover reduces solar insolation and convective activity enhances evaporative cooling, creating uncertainty in exact peak amid model variations on precipitation timing. Final resolution hinges on official station measurements; monitor IMD updates through the day for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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