The Meteorological Service Singapore's latest fortnightly outlook for April 1-15 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33-35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, with afternoon thundery showers over parts of the island on most days—yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32°C (34.5%) and 31°C (28.0%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover moderating peaks from March's frequent 34°C+ highs. Convective activity from light, variable winds and sea breeze convergence often caps urban heat island effects below 33°C, aligning with historical April averages near 31.5°C despite warming trends. Probabilities drop for 34°C+ due to expected rainfall suppressing solar heating. Updated 24-hour forecasts and hourly model runs through April 4-5 will clarify differentiation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
32°C 33%
31°C 28%
33°C 22%
30°C 8%
NUEVO
$12,194 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,194 Vol.
5 abr 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
28%
32°C
33%
33°C
22%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 33%
31°C 28%
33°C 22%
30°C 8%
NUEVO
$12,194 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,194 Vol.
5 abr 2026
25°C or below
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$810 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$956 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,285 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,746 Vol.
2%
30°C
$954 Vol.
8%
31°C
$946 Vol.
28%
32°C
$1,023 Vol.
33%
33°C
$912 Vol.
22%
34°C
$813 Vol.
8%
35°C or higher
$1,278 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Meteorological Service Singapore's latest fortnightly outlook for April 1-15 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33-35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, with afternoon thundery showers over parts of the island on most days—yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32°C (34.5%) and 31°C (28.0%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover moderating peaks from March's frequent 34°C+ highs. Convective activity from light, variable winds and sea breeze convergence often caps urban heat island effects below 33°C, aligning with historical April averages near 31.5°C despite warming trends. Probabilities drop for 34°C+ due to expected rainfall suppressing solar heating. Updated 24-hour forecasts and hourly model runs through April 4-5 will clarify differentiation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ET
Volumen
$12,194Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Meteorological Service Singapore's latest fortnightly outlook for April 1-15 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33-35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, with afternoon thundery showers over parts of the island on most days—yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32°C (34.5%) and 31°C (28.0%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover moderating peaks from March's frequent 34°C+ highs. Convective activity from light, variable winds and sea breeze convergence often caps urban heat island effects below 33°C, aligning with historical April averages near 31.5°C despite warming trends. Probabilities drop for 34°C+ due to expected rainfall suppressing solar heating. Updated 24-hour forecasts and hourly model runs through April 4-5 will clarify differentiation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,194Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Meteorological Service Singapore's latest fortnightly outlook for April 1-15 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33-35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, with afternoon thundery showers over parts of the island on most days—yet trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 32°C (34.5%) and 31°C (28.0%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover moderating peaks from March's frequent 34°C+ highs. Convective activity from light, variable winds and sea breeze convergence often caps urban heat island effects below 33°C, aligning with historical April averages near 31.5°C despite warming trends. Probabilities drop for 34°C+ due to expected rainfall suppressing solar heating. Updated 24-hour forecasts and hourly model runs through April 4-5 will clarify differentiation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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