Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 24°C or higher in London at 53.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast update showing a sharp warming trend after an unsettled Easter weekend, with sunny skies and feels-like temperatures reaching 19°C on April 8 amid building high pressure. This follows cooler conditions earlier in the week (13–16°C feels-like Monday–Tuesday), reflecting model consensus on subsidence warming and light winds under an upper-level ridge, contrasting April climatological averages of 13–14°C maximums. Recent March warmth near 19°C at Northolt sets precedent for spring outliers, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists with potential cloud incursions. Watch daily Met Office and ECMWF updates for refined peak estimates ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on April 8?
Highest temperature in London on April 8?
19°C 19%
22°C 18%
21°C 13%
23°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
19%
20°C
18%
21°C
19%
22°C
18%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
12%
19°C 19%
22°C 18%
21°C 13%
23°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
14°C or below
$70 Vol.
3%
15°C
$50 Vol.
3%
16°C
$50 Vol.
3%
17°C
$60 Vol.
5%
18°C
$50 Vol.
9%
19°C
$94 Vol.
19%
20°C
$67 Vol.
18%
21°C
$62 Vol.
19%
22°C
$57 Vol.
18%
23°C
$56 Vol.
13%
24°C or higher
$65 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 24°C or higher in London at 53.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast update showing a sharp warming trend after an unsettled Easter weekend, with sunny skies and feels-like temperatures reaching 19°C on April 8 amid building high pressure. This follows cooler conditions earlier in the week (13–16°C feels-like Monday–Tuesday), reflecting model consensus on subsidence warming and light winds under an upper-level ridge, contrasting April climatological averages of 13–14°C maximums. Recent March warmth near 19°C at Northolt sets precedent for spring outliers, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists with potential cloud incursions. Watch daily Met Office and ECMWF updates for refined peak estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volumen
$681Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 24°C or higher in London at 53.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast update showing a sharp warming trend after an unsettled Easter weekend, with sunny skies and feels-like temperatures reaching 19°C on April 8 amid building high pressure. This follows cooler conditions earlier in the week (13–16°C feels-like Monday–Tuesday), reflecting model consensus on subsidence warming and light winds under an upper-level ridge, contrasting April climatological averages of 13–14°C maximums. Recent March warmth near 19°C at Northolt sets precedent for spring outliers, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists with potential cloud incursions. Watch daily Met Office and ECMWF updates for refined peak estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$681Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 24°C or higher in London at 53.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast update showing a sharp warming trend after an unsettled Easter weekend, with sunny skies and feels-like temperatures reaching 19°C on April 8 amid building high pressure. This follows cooler conditions earlier in the week (13–16°C feels-like Monday–Tuesday), reflecting model consensus on subsidence warming and light winds under an upper-level ridge, contrasting April climatological averages of 13–14°C maximums. Recent March warmth near 19°C at Northolt sets precedent for spring outliers, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists with potential cloud incursions. Watch daily Met Office and ECMWF updates for refined peak estimates ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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