Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 28°C or below, driven by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecasts of persistent partly cloudy skies with thunderstorms and rain from an active western disturbance—a cyclonic circulation over East Iran affecting northwest India. This system has already capped recent maximums at 34-35°C, well below early April climatological norms of 35-37°C, by reducing insolation through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Outcomes around 29-31°C (15-12%) reflect model consensus for continued suppression, though dry northerly winds could allow slight warming; watch IMD's daily updates for evolving guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 8?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 8?
28°C or below 40%
29°C 18%
30°C 14%
32°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
28°C or below
40%
29°C
18%
30°C
14%
31°C
8%
32°C
9%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
28°C or below 40%
29°C 18%
30°C 14%
32°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
28°C or below
$82 Vol.
40%
29°C
$11 Vol.
18%
30°C
$10 Vol.
14%
31°C
$10 Vol.
8%
32°C
$0 Vol.
9%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C
$214 Vol.
1%
37°C
$165 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$216 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 28°C or below, driven by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecasts of persistent partly cloudy skies with thunderstorms and rain from an active western disturbance—a cyclonic circulation over East Iran affecting northwest India. This system has already capped recent maximums at 34-35°C, well below early April climatological norms of 35-37°C, by reducing insolation through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Outcomes around 29-31°C (15-12%) reflect model consensus for continued suppression, though dry northerly winds could allow slight warming; watch IMD's daily updates for evolving guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$708Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 28°C or below, driven by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecasts of persistent partly cloudy skies with thunderstorms and rain from an active western disturbance—a cyclonic circulation over East Iran affecting northwest India. This system has already capped recent maximums at 34-35°C, well below early April climatological norms of 35-37°C, by reducing insolation through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Outcomes around 29-31°C (15-12%) reflect model consensus for continued suppression, though dry northerly winds could allow slight warming; watch IMD's daily updates for evolving guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$708Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 28°C or below, driven by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecasts of persistent partly cloudy skies with thunderstorms and rain from an active western disturbance—a cyclonic circulation over East Iran affecting northwest India. This system has already capped recent maximums at 34-35°C, well below early April climatological norms of 35-37°C, by reducing insolation through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Outcomes around 29-31°C (15-12%) reflect model consensus for continued suppression, though dry northerly winds could allow slight warming; watch IMD's daily updates for evolving guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes